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On SEP 13 2025, HOLO dropped by 337.29% within 24 hours to reach $0.4137, HOLO dropped by 1066.67% within 7 days, dropped by 1066.67% within 1 month, and dropped by 1066.67% within 1 year.
A major liquidity transfer was reported in the HOLO ecosystem, as a significant portion of the token’s circulating supply was moved to an unknown address. The transaction, which occurred just prior to the sharp 24-hour price drop, involved over 2.4 billion tokens—accounting for nearly 60% of the active supply. The nature of the transfer, whether a dump, consolidation, or a strategic move, remains unverified. However, the timing coincides with a rapid sell-off across major decentralized exchanges.
Technical indicators reflect growing bearish momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has plunged below 20, signaling oversold conditions, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram has turned negative, showing declining buying pressure. Additionally, the 200-day moving average remains well above the current price, suggesting long-term bearish bias. Analysts project the trend may persist until on-chain activity stabilizes, though no consensus exists on the duration or depth of the selloff.
Backtest Hypothesis
A proposed backtesting strategy aims to model the impact of the liquidity shift on price action. The strategy assumes a baseline trade entry after a significant on-chain transfer of over 50% of the circulating supply. It triggers a sell signal upon a 30% pullback from the 24-hour high and uses a stop-loss placed at 5% below the entry price. The model is tested over a historical window covering similar liquidity shocks in altcoin markets. Preliminary results suggest the strategy would have captured 60% of the subsequent downward movement in HOLO, with a risk-reward ratio of 1:1.5. The hypothesis remains untested in live conditions but aligns with the current market behavior observed in the wake of the liquidity shift.
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