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History Says the Nasdaq Will Surge in 2025: 1 AI Stock to Buy Before It Does (Hint: It's Not Nvidia)

Eli GrantTuesday, Dec 24, 2024 5:27 am ET
4min read


The Nasdaq Composite index has historically shown a cyclical pattern, with bullish periods often following bearish ones. For instance, after the dot-com crash in 2000, the Nasdaq rebounded and reached new highs by 2007. Similarly, following the 2008 financial crisis, it recovered and surged to record levels by 2015. This cyclical behavior suggests that the Nasdaq could be poised for a significant surge in 2025, given the recent market downturn. However, it's essential to consider that past performance is not indicative of future results, and other factors, such as geopolitical events and technological advancements, can also impact the market's trajectory.

Technological advancements, particularly in AI, have been a significant driver of the Nasdaq's growth. As seen in the provided data, NVIDIA, a leading AI hardware provider, has experienced substantial revenue growth, with its data center segment surging 112% year-over-year in Q3 2024. This growth is attributed to the increasing demand for AI-powered solutions in various industries. Additionally, the Nasdaq Composite index is forecasted to surge in 2025, with predictions indicating a 72.5% increase by November 2025. While NVIDIA is a prominent AI stock, investors should consider other AI-driven companies that may offer similar growth potential and lower valuations.

Geopolitical factors and global economic trends have significantly contributed to the Nasdaq's historical performance. For instance, the tech-heavy index has often benefited from periods of global economic growth and technological advancements. During the dot-com boom in the late 1990s, the Nasdaq surged due to investor enthusiasm for tech stocks. Similarly, the index has experienced significant growth during periods of quantitative easing and low-interest rates, as these policies encourage investment in riskier assets like tech stocks. Additionally, geopolitical stability and favorable trade policies have historically supported the Nasdaq's performance, as they facilitate international trade and investment.

The hinted AI stock is likely Palantir Technologies (PLTR), given its recent performance and growth potential. Key growth drivers for PLTR include its data integration and analytics platform, which is increasingly valuable in various industries, and its government contracts, which provide a stable revenue stream. PLTR's forward P/E ratio of 31.52 is lower than NVIDIA's 55.21, indicating it may be undervalued. Additionally, PLTR's revenue growth of 1.224 is comparable to NVIDIA's 1.225, suggesting similar growth potential.



Palantir Technologies (PLTR) has a forward P/E ratio of 73, significantly higher than Nvidia's 31.52. This suggests that Palantir is currently more expensive than Nvidia, but it also implies higher expected growth. However, Palantir's valuation is still within the range of other high-growth AI stocks, and its potential for significant upside remains attractive.



Palantir Technologies (PLTR) faces several risks, including its high valuation (P/S ratio of 73), reliance on government contracts, and increasing competition in the data-mining space. In comparison, Nvidia (NVDA) has a more diversified business model, lower valuation (P/S of 31), and a dominant market share in AI-GPUs. Nvidia's risks include intense competition and potential regulatory scrutiny.

In conclusion, while the Nasdaq's historical performance suggests a potential surge in 2025, investors should look beyond NVIDIA for AI stocks with growth potential and lower valuations. Palantir Technologies (PLTR) is one such stock that offers attractive growth prospects and a lower forward P/E ratio compared to NVIDIA. However, investors should be aware of the risks associated with PLTR and conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer: the above is a summary showing certain market information. AInvest is not responsible for any data errors, omissions or other information that may be displayed incorrectly as the data is derived from a third party source. Communications displaying market prices, data and other information available in this post are meant for informational purposes only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security. Please do your own research when investing. All investments involve risk and the past performance of a security, or financial product does not guarantee future results or returns. Keep in mind that while diversification may help spread risk, it does not assure a profit, or protect against loss in a down market.