๐Ÿ“‰ Historic Sell-Off: Microsoft Suffers $357 Billion Market Cap Wipeout Amid AI Capex Fears

Written byAInvest Visual
Thursday, Jan 29, 2026 9:10 pm ET1min read
MSFT--
Aime RobotAime Summary

- MicrosoftMSFT-- lost $357B in a single day, second-largest market cap wipeout after Nvidia's 2025 "DeepSeek Shock."

- The crash stemmed from 66% AI/data center Capex surge and Azure cloud growth deceleration, triggering margin concerns.

- Unlike Nvidia's 2025 efficiency-driven crash, Microsoft's collapse reflects investor fears over AI infrastructure costs.

- History shows such mega-cap crashes often create buying opportunities, as seen with MetaMETA-- and Amazon's post-crash recoveries.

Microsoft ($MSFT) has officially entered the history books for the wrong reason. In a single trading session, the tech giant saw $357 billion in market value evaporate, marking the second-largest single-day loss in stock market history.

This historic crash trails only Nvidia's "DeepSeek Shock" of 2025, signaling a growing investor intolerance for skyrocketing AI capital expenditures without immediate revenue acceleration.

๐Ÿ“Š The Leaderboard: History's Largest Market Cap Wipeouts

(Chart Source: Market Data 2026 | Visualized by Ainvest)

๐Ÿ“‰ Analysis: Why Did MicrosoftMSFT-- Crash?

While Microsoft reported strong top-line revenue, the market's reaction highlights a shift in sentiment regarding Artificial Intelligence ROI.

1. The "Capex Wall"

Microsoft announced a staggering 66% year-over-year increase in Capital Expenditures, primarily driven by data center expansion and AI chips. Wall Street is no longer satisfied with "building for the future"โ€”they demand immediate margin expansion.

2. Azure Deceleration

Despite the spending, Azure's growth rate showed signs of cooling. The combination of slowing cloud growth and rising costs created a "perfect storm" for bears, triggering algorithmic sell-offs similar to Meta's crash in 2022.

3. Comparison to Nvidia's "DeepSeek Shock"

Rank #1 and Rank #2 on the wipeout list are now both AI-related, but for different reasons:

  • Nvidia (2025) crashed on fears that AI models were becoming too efficient, reducing demand for hardware.

  • Microsoft (2026) crashed on fears that AI infrastructure is becoming too expensive, compressing margins.

๐Ÿ”ฎ Investor Outlook: Opportunity or Warning?

Historically, mega-cap wipeouts have often presented buying opportunities for long-term investors.

  • Meta recovered from its -$232B loss in 2022 to reach new highs by 2024.

  • Amazon similarly rebounded after its 2022 post-pandemic slump.

The Big Question: Is Microsoft's AI bet a momentary stumble or a structural warning sign for the entire sector?

Track real-time sentiment and institutional flows on Ainvest.

๐Ÿ’ก FAQ (People Also Ask)

What is the largest single-day stock loss in history? As of 2026, the largest loss is Nvidia's $589 billion drop on Jan 27, 2025, known as the "DeepSeek Shock." Microsoft's $357 billion loss on Jan 29, 2026, is now the second largest.

Why did Microsoft stock drop today? Microsoft stock dropped due to investor concerns over a massive increase in capital expenditures (Capex) related to AI, combined with slowing growth in its Azure cloud division.

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