High-Volume Stocks Outperform as AIG Trails in Market Activity with 356th Trading Rank

American International Group (AIG) closed July 30 with a 1.91% decline, trading on $0.35 billion in volume, ranking 356th in market activity. The insurer is set to release second-quarter earnings on August 6, with analysts forecasting $1.58 per share, a 36.2% year-over-year increase, and revenue of $6.82 billion, up 2.7%. Recent revisions to earnings estimates have trended downward by 2.04% over 30 days, though the Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests a +0.18% likelihood of an earnings beat, supported by a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). AIG has exceeded consensus estimates in three of the last four quarters, including a 11.43% surprise in the prior period.

Insight from internal management highlights CEO Peter Zaffino’s strategic focus on AI integration and risk management, signaling operational resilience. Meanwhile, analyst sentiment remains cautious, with some noting elevated reinsurance sector risks and market volatility. AIG’s stock performance has closely tracked the broader market, reflecting mixed investor confidence ahead of its earnings release.

A backtested trading strategy of purchasing the top 500 most actively traded stocks and holding for one day yielded a 166.71% return from 2022 to present, significantly outperforming the benchmark’s 29.18%. The strategy achieved a 137.53% excess return and a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 31.89%, underscoring the potential of high-volume stocks to drive outsized returns in short-term trading frameworks.