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Hedera Hashgraph (HBAR) has recently gained significant attention due to a sharp price surge of nearly 34% within a few days. This surge has caught many traders off guard, as HBAR has often been overshadowed by larger altcoins. The price jump has broken past key resistance levels, with daily candles flashing green and RSI levels pushing into overbought territory. This has led investors to question whether this is a genuine breakout or just another short-lived pump.
HBAR's recent rally can be attributed to its pivotal role in EQTY Lab’s announcement at the RAISE Summit 2025. The news revealed a multi-organization collaboration involving NVIDIA, SCAN UK, Accenture, and Hedera to power Verifiable Compute for sovereign AI systems using the NVIDIA Blackwell architecture. Hedera's distributed ledger is being used as the cryptographic backbone to register and enforce compliance of AI workflows, meaning every AI agent’s actions are now cryptographically bound and recorded on Hedera’s network. This significantly strengthens Hedera’s use case as the go-to platform for mission-critical, regulated environments, particularly for defense, health, and public sector AI governance.
This real-world enterprise-grade adoption narrative has dramatically boosted investor confidence in HBAR’s long-term viability. The technical rally coincides with the EQTY announcement, which highlights Hedera as the underlying DLT infrastructure for cryptographic verification and sovereign compliance in autonomous AI. In a time when markets are hyper-focused on AI and verifiability, HBAR stands out not just as a speculative asset but as a core infrastructure partner for cutting-edge technologies. The result is a surge of both volume and price action, as the market begins to price in Hedera’s growing relevance in high-assurance, high-performance AI workflows. If this adoption expands across governments and defense sectors, HBAR’s current rally could just be the start of a much larger revaluation.
On the daily chart, HBAR price has broken above key resistance levels marked at $0.19 and $0.205, which now act as support. Fibonacci retracement levels drawn from the recent swing low around $0.145 to the local high of $0.219 indicate next resistance near $0.23 (1.618 extension) and major breakout resistance at $0.25. The RSI at 80.12 is in the overbought zone, historically, HBAR tends to correct when RSI breaches the 75–80 region. A pullback to the $0.195–$0.20 support zone would still be healthy. The consistent upward candles show strength. With the RSI bullish crossover happening in early July and still continuing, we can infer that momentum remains with the bulls—though a short-term consolidation is likely.
Let’s calculate the possible upside targets using Fibonacci projections: Swing Low (June 24): $0.145, Swing High (July 13): $0.219, Height of move: $0.219 - $0.145 = $0.074. Now projecting upward: 1.618 extension: $0.219 + (0.074 × 1.618) = $0.338, 2.0 extension: $0.219 + (0.074 × 2.0) = $0.367. These levels act as speculative long targets if Hedera price breaks above $0.25 with strong volume. For a more conservative upside in the next 2 weeks, a retest of $0.23–$0.25 is highly probable.
Given the overbought RSI, HBAR may undergo a short pullback. If it retraces, first support lies at $0.20, stronger support sits near $0.185–$0.19 (previous resistance zone). If those levels hold, buyers could step in again for the next leg up. If HBAR price drops below $0.185, this current breakout may fail, and price could revisit $0.16.
Short-Term (Next 7 Days): Hedera price may consolidate between $0.20–$0.23. A daily close above $0.23 could trigger a bullish continuation toward $0.25 and beyond. Mid-Term (Next 2–4 Weeks): If bulls maintain control and Bitcoin remains stable, HBAR price could test $0.27–$0.30, with a max speculative target of $0.33–$0.34 based on Fibonacci extensions. However, this will require sustained volume and market-wide bullish momentum. Hedera price has convincingly broken out of a multi-week consolidation, and indicators show strong bullish energy. But traders should remain cautious due to overbought RSI levels. A healthy dip could offer a better entry point before the next rally toward $0.25+. If the breakout sustains, HBAR price could be on track for its best monthly close in over a year.

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