Hedera and Aptos Face Critical Levels for Breakout

Crypto analyst Rekt Capital has highlighted that both Hedera (HBAR) and Aptos (APT) are currently stuck in price ranges that are limiting their potential for significant breakouts. Despite showing signs of promise, these altcoins require key confirmations to move forward.

Hedera's price movement has been following a similar trajectory to that of 2021, with some notable differences. Currently, HBAR is trading within a range defined by two red order blocks. In 2021, HBAR established a strong base at the lower support level before breaking through resistance on the first attempt. However, this time, the price has dipped below the red support and was rejected at resistance on the first try. Despite these differences, the overall setup remains similar to the previous cycle, suggesting that HBAR may need more time to consolidate between these key levels.

For Hedera to trigger a breakout, it needs a strong weekly close above the red resistance or a clear retest that flips it into support. Until this happens, the price is expected to retest the range low again. A successful hold of this range low would be a bullish sign, and even if HBAR briefly dips below the box, forming a higher low could still set the stage for a strong recovery. Currently, the HBAR price is at a critical decision point, where it either holds and consolidates or risks further downside.

Aptos, on the other hand, is still struggling to reclaim its range. The APT price is hovering just below the macro range low of $5.44. A few months ago, Aptos closed a monthly candle below this key level and has since failed to reclaim it. The price has repeatedly tested this level for over two months but has been pushed back, turning it into a firm resistance. For Aptos to return to bullish territory, it needs more than just a brief move above $5.44; it requires a weekly close above this range low and a successful retest that confirms the level as support. So far, APT has failed to do this twice, making the third attempt critical.

Despite the resistance, there are encouraging signs for Aptos. The altcoin continues to make higher lows compared to its early 2025 bottom, showing resilience. The RSI on the weekly chart has broken out of a long-term downtrend and is now forming a new uptrend. Historically, when the RSI consolidates in this way, it has often led to upward moves in both the RSI and the price. All eyes are now on the April 2025 lows. If APT can defend this area, especially with a higher low or a double bottom, the setup could become very bullish, creating a W-shaped pattern, a classic reversal signal in technical analysis.

Both HBAR and APT are at make-or-break levels, with traders closely watching for signs of a breakout. For Hedera, holding the current support zone and aiming for a retest of resistance is key. For Aptos, reclaiming the $5.44 level and confirming it as support will be crucial. While both altcoins may need more consolidation, the ingredients for a breakout are slowly coming together. The market's strength will determine whether these altcoins can push over the edge or remain stuck for longer. If history repeats, both APT and HBAR could be setting up for significant moves, but until then, support and resistance levels will continue to act as the battlegrounds.