HBAR Shows Signs of Short-Term Rebound Amid Broader Market Downturn

HBAR’s recent 20% price rebound features a long wick near $0.07766, potentially signaling a market structure shift and testing $0.107 resistance according to technical analysis.
- The token is currently trading at $0.09, below key moving averages like EMA20 ($0.10), with RSI near oversold levels as market data shows.
- Institutional adoption in DeFi and NFTs, as well as a newly launched HBAR ETF, is attracting long-term investors despite ongoing short-term bearish pressure according to market reports.

HBAR has experienced a 20% price rebound in recent days, marked by a long wick near $0.07766 according to technical analysis. This price action suggests that selling pressure may have reached a temporary exhaustion point. The next critical resistance level is $0.107, which, if sustained, could confirm a bullish reversal from a falling wedge pattern. However, the rebound is currently supported by leveraged futures rather than organic spot demand, with a futures-to-spot volume ratio of 4x according to flow metrics.

On a technical level, HBAR remains below the EMA20 and Supertrend indicators are bearish according to technical analysis. The token's price has remained in a descending channel, with key support identified at $0.0839 and resistance at $0.0994. While RSI is approaching oversold levels, indicating potential for a rebound, volume remains relatively low, and the overall market trend continues to trend downward as market data indicates.

Institutional interest in HBAR has grown, particularly through enterprise partnerships and the launch of the Canary Capital HBAR ETF on NYSE according to market reports. The network has also seen significant growth in real-world asset (RWA) settlements, with over $10 billion processed in 2025. These developments are seen as long-term positives, especially if ETF approvals expand and Bitcoin's price recovers to $110K–$130K according to price forecasts. Despite these institutional fundamentals, the token is still down 52% year-to-date and remains highly correlated with Bitcoin's price movements.

What is the significance of HBAR's recent price action?

HBAR's recent price action shows a potential market structure shift, particularly with the long wick forming near $0.07766 according to technical analysis. This level is considered a key support that, if held, could trigger a short-term rebound. The price has also tested multiple timeframes, with key support identified at $0.0839 and resistance at $0.0994. These levels suggest the price is currently consolidating within a broader descending channel, with a breakout expected to determine the next direction of the trend according to market data.

The rebound has been supported by leveraged futures, with the futures-to-spot volume ratio at 4x according to flow metrics. This high leverage suggests the price movement is driven by speculative activity rather than organic spot demand. While this could lead to a short-term reversal, it also increases the risk of cascading liquidations if the price fails to break through key resistance levels.

What are the institutional factors driving HBAR's long-term potential?

HBAR's long-term potential is supported by growing institutional adoption, particularly in DeFi and NFTs . The network has processed over $10 billion in RWA settlements in 2025, and partnerships with Fortune 500 companies and government initiatives in Dubai and Georgia are strengthening its adoption narrative. The recent launch of the HBAR ETF further adds to this institutional interest, providing a new avenue for capital inflow into the token.

Moreover, the token's price is closely tied to Bitcoin's movements. As Bitcoin recovers, HBAR is likely to see a corresponding rebound according to market analysis. Analysts have forecast price targets of $0.18–$0.25 under a conservative scenario and $0.60–$0.80 under a bullish scenario, assuming continued developer activity and meaningful dApp volume according to price forecasts. These forecasts are contingent on broader market conditions and the overall health of the crypto market.

What are the key risks and limitations for HBAR investors?

HBAR faces several risks, including the potential failure of key support levels like $0.097 according to technical analysis. A decisive break below this level could extend the downtrend toward $0.073, reinforcing the bearish channel. Additionally, the current price movement is highly speculative, with a large portion of trading volume occurring in leveraged futures rather than spot markets according to market data. This speculative activity increases the risk of volatility and potential cascading liquidations.

While institutional adoption is a positive sign for HBAR's long-term prospects, the token has yet to see sustained capital inflows that would support a long-term bullish trend according to market reports. The Total Value Locked (TVL) has fallen more than 50% since September, indicating a prolonged outflow of capital according to technical analysis. Until on-chain liquidity stabilizes and institutional capital continues to flow in, the token remains vulnerable to broader market downturns.