HBAR Price Forms Double Top, Faces A Minor Crash; Bitcoin Correlation Wanes

Generated by AI AgentJax MercerReviewed byAInvest News Editorial Team
Thursday, Jan 1, 2026 10:11 am ET2min read
Aime RobotAime Summary

-

price formed a double-top pattern, breaking below the neckline at $0.107, with analysts predicting a 5% drop to $0.102 if selling pressure continues.

- Weak investor sentiment and a 0.26 correlation with

(lowest in two months) highlight reduced market confidence and limited upside potential during BTC rallies.

- Bitcoin's proximity to $87,000 and fragile bullish momentum could indirectly impact HBAR, though its low correlation may shield it from mirrored BTC losses.

- Analysts monitor HBAR's recovery above $0.109 as a potential reversal signal, while broader market conditions and renewed project-specific demand remain critical for sustained recovery.

HBAR price has formed a double-top pattern over the past month, signaling a potential bearish reversal in the short term. The token has broken below the neckline of the pattern and is currently trading near $0.107.

to $0.102 if the pattern is confirmed by continued selling pressure.

The decline in

price is part of a broader bearish sentiment among investors. The weighted sentiment metric remains in negative territory, indicating a lack of confidence in the token's near-term prospects. HBAR if broader market conditions fail to provide external support.

HBAR's correlation with

has weakened significantly, now standing at 0.26, the lowest level in nearly two months. This reduced dependency alters how HBAR reacts to Bitcoin's price movements. While it may shield HBAR from mirrored Bitcoin losses, it also limits upside momentum during Bitcoin's rallies. is a key factor in its recent price action.

Why Did This Happen?

The formation of a double-top pattern on HBAR price suggests exhaustion in the recent bullish trend. This pattern typically precedes a corrective phase when confirmed by follow-through selling. The token has already broken below the neckline, and

.

Investor sentiment plays a crucial role in determining HBAR's trajectory. The current bearish sentiment reflects caution among participants rather than panic. However,

during periods of price weakness, exposing HBAR to further corrections.

How Did Markets React?

HBAR's weak correlation with Bitcoin is a key factor in its recent price action. Unlike most altcoins, HBAR is not closely tied to Bitcoin's performance. This shift presents mixed implications.

, HBAR may avoid mirrored losses. However, Bitcoin's recovery is unlikely to significantly lift HBAR's price.

Bitcoin is currently hovering near $87,000 amid a risk-averse New Year. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is approaching the zero line, and fluctuating green histogram bars suggest potentially unsustainable bullish momentum.

the support trendline near $85,000, it could test the S1 Pivot Point at $82,784.

What Are Analysts Watching Next?

Analysts are closely monitoring HBAR's ability to reclaim key support levels.

would signal renewed strength and potentially confirm a short-term trend reversal. A sustained bounce from this zone, followed by a move toward $0.113, would reinforce this bullish scenario.

Bitcoin's performance remains a focal point for the broader crypto market. While HBAR is not closely correlated with

, Bitcoin's price dynamics continue to influence investor sentiment and risk appetite across the industry. will depend on both internal factors and broader market conditions.

Investors are also watching for signs of renewed confidence in HBAR. The current bearish positioning highlights the need for positive catalysts, such as improved project-specific demand or renewed market optimism. Without such developments, HBAR remains vulnerable to further price corrections.

, HBAR remains vulnerable to further price corrections.