Harris Just Narrowly Surpassed Trump in Swing States, Polls Show
1min read Historical experience has taught people that in the U.S. presidential election, whoever wins the swing states wins the White House.
With about 40 days left before the election, a poll shows that Democratic candidate and Vice President Kamala Harris is leading Republican candidate and former President Donald Trump by a narrow margin in several key states. Trump's previous advantage on economic issues has been essentially erased, giving Democrats an optimistic outlook.
According to a Morning Consult poll conducted in swing states, Harris currently leads Trump by 7 percentage points in Nevada, by 5 points in Pennsylvania, by 3 points in Arizona, Michigan, and Wisconsin, by 2 points in North Carolina, and is tied with Trump in Georgia.
Harris's lead in individual states is within the margin of error of the polls, highlighting that this fierce competition may ultimately be decided by the slimmest of margins.
Overall, in these seven key states, Harris leads by 3 percentage points among likely voters, which is 2 percentage points higher than last month.
The Gap on Economic Issues Is Narrowing
Harris's current campaign focuses on her economic agenda, including a commitment to build more affordable housing, provide down payment assistance for first-time homebuyers, and promise to make the wealthy pay more taxes; while Trump's economic initiatives have recently taken a back seat in his campaign, with his speeches often shifting to immigration and crime issues.
And voters in swing states have consistently said that the economy is their top concern in this election.
When President Biden was still the Democratic candidate, voters said they trusted Trump more to handle economic issues. However, after Biden announced his withdrawal from the race, voters believe that Harris performed better on this issue than Biden, and she has even narrowed the gap with Trump on a range of economic problems.
The latest polls show that Trump is still leading on economic and immigration issues, but his economic advantage is shrinking; while Harris is ahead on issues such as abortion, democracy, social security, and housing.
For example, when likely voters are asked who they trust more to address the cost of everyday goods, the results are almost a tie: about 47% choose Trump, and 46% choose Harris.
On the issue of who they trust more to help the middle class, Harris leads by a significant 11 percentage points.
On immigration and crime issues, Trump enjoys a trust advantage of 14 percentage points among potential voters. Immigration has always been a weak point in Harris's campaign.
As the campaign enters its final sprint, if Harris's support in key swing states remains at 50% or higher, Trump will have to attract more voters to vote and join his support team to surpass Harris.