Harnessing the Sun: Why Solar and Storage are the Safest Bets in the Clean Energy Surge

Victor HaleWednesday, Jun 4, 2025 3:00 am ET
27min read

The U.S. clean energy transition is accelerating, fueled by record solar installations, surging battery storage demand, and structural headwinds for fossil fuels. As summer peaks, utilities face a stark reality: renewables are not just an option but a necessity. For investors, this moment demands a clear-eyed focus on companies positioned to dominate solar and storage, while avoiding utilities clinging to outdated fossil fuel models. Here's why solar and storage are the keys to outperforming in 2025—and beyond.

Solar's Unstoppable Momentum: Growth Amid Short-Term Volatility

The solar sector has hit historic highs, with 49.99 GWdc of installed capacity in 2024—a 21% jump over 2023. This growth isn't fleeting; it's the result of $3.36/Wdc pricing declines, federal tax incentives under the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), and corporate demand from tech giants like Meta and Google. Even as 2025 faces a projected 2% dip in utility-scale solar installations due to policy uncertainty, long-term trends are unshakable: cumulative capacity is set to triple to 739 GWdc by 2035, driven by rising electricity demand and grid modernization.

Utility-Scale Dominance: Texas alone added 11.6 GWdc in 2024, and its pipelines remain robust despite federal permitting delays. California, despite policy shifts, still accounts for 34% of commercial solar projects. Meanwhile, states like Florida and Arizona are emerging as new hubs, leveraging IRA incentives to attract developers. The message is clear: solar is too cost-effective to ignore. Even as some utilities stall, corporate PPAs (Power Purchase Agreements) and state mandates ensure steady demand.

Storage: The Unsung Hero of Grid Resilience

Summer's peak demand is a stress test for grids—and here's where battery storage shines. The EIA forecasts 18.2 GW of utility-scale storage added in 2025, up from 10.3 GW in 2024. This isn't just about storing solar power; it's about reducing reliance on gas peaker plants, which are increasingly uneconomical as gas prices remain volatile. Storage also addresses the interconnection delays plaguing solar projects, enabling distributed energy systems that bypass grid bottlenecks.

Investors should prioritize storage integrators and battery manufacturers, such as Tesla (TSLA), Fluor (FLR), and Enphase Energy (ENPH). These firms are capitalizing on the $2.59/Wdc cost declines in commercial systems, making storage economically viable even in gas-friendly states. Pairing solar with storage isn't a choice—it's the only way to ensure reliability during heatwaves and grid instability.

Fossil Fuels: A Sunset Industry Facing Margin Meltdowns

While solar and storage surge, fossil fuel utilities are in free fall. Natural gas prices remain stubbornly high, squeezing margins for companies reliant on gas-fired power. The EIA notes that 4.4 GW of gas capacity added in 2025 is a fraction of solar's 32.5 GW, and much of this is to replace retiring coal plants—not to meet new demand. Utilities like Dominion Energy (D) and NextEra Energy (NEE) are pivoting, but laggards like Dynegy (DYN) face existential threats as their fleets become stranded assets.

The writing is on the wall: gas is a high-cost, high-risk proposition. Investors clinging to fossil fuel-heavy utilities will face declining valuations as regulators push for cleaner grids and consumers demand price stability.

Top Plays for Solar and Storage Resilience

  1. First Solar (FSLR): Leader in utility-scale modules with 50 GW of U.S. manufacturing capacity and a 2024 revenue jump of 32%.
  2. Enphase Energy (ENPH): Dominates residential solar inverters and storage systems, with $2.25/Wdc commercial pricing advantages.
  3. Fluor (FLR): A key EPC player in storage projects, benefiting from IRA tax credits and grid modernization spending.
  4. NextEra Energy (NEE): A hybrid utility with 356 GWdc of solar potential by 2035, but only if it fully pivots from gas.

The Bottom Line: Solar and Storage Are the New Safe Havens

This is no longer a “green” investment—it's a risk-mitigation strategy. Solar and storage firms are delivering 15-20% annual revenue growth, while fossil fuel utilities face regulatory, financial, and operational headwinds. With summer demand surges and gas volatility intensifying, the time to act is now.

Investors who double down on solar and storage will capture the next wave of energy innovation. Those clinging to gas will find themselves stranded in a gridlocked past. The future is bright—and it's powered by the sun.

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