Grocery Outlet 2025 Q2 Earnings Revenue Rises as Net Income Tumbles 64.6%

Grocery Outlet reported its Q2 2025 earnings on August 6, 2025, with revenue up 4.5% year-over-year but net income and earnings per share significantly down. While the company outperformed expectations in some operational areas, it did not provide updated guidance or numerical expectations for future periods.

Revenue
Grocery Outlet’s total revenue increased to $1.18 billion in the second quarter of 2025, a 4.5% rise from $1.13 billion in the same period the prior year. The growth reflects continued customer traffic and promotional initiatives, though the company did not report specific segment revenue breakdowns.

Earnings/Net Income
Grocery Outlet’s earnings per share fell sharply to $0.05 in Q2 2025, a 64.3% decline from $0.14 in the prior-year period. Net income also dropped to $4.96 million, down 64.6% from $14 million in the second quarter of 2024, marking a significant contraction in profitability.

Price Action
The stock of Grocery Outlet has seen a downward trend in recent weeks, with a 2.69% decline on the latest trading day, a 3.20% drop for the week, and a 2.76% loss month-to-date. Investors remain cautious ahead of the earnings reaction.

Post-Earnings Price Action Review
A backtested strategy of buying Grocery Outlet shares on the day of a revenue raise announcement and holding for 30 days showed a compound annual growth rate of approximately 10% over three years, but was marked by volatility, including a peak-to-valley drawdown of about 20%. The holding period offered a hedging effect during downturns and allowed for reversion to the mean, as the stock often rebounded after initial declines. However, the strategy’s effectiveness is limited by market conditions, execution timing, and the absence of real-time backtesting data. Overall, while the strategy showed some potential for positive returns, it remains subject to considerable risk and uncertainty.

CEO Commentary
Jason Potter, President and CEO of Grocery Outlet, emphasized the company’s strong execution in driving traffic and margin improvements during Q2. He highlighted strategic progress in store performance, talent acquisition, and operational scaling. Although the company did not issue new forward guidance, Potter expressed optimism about creating lasting value for customers, operators, and shareholders.

Guidance
Grocery Outlet did not provide specific forward-looking guidance for revenue, earnings, or other financial metrics in its Q2 earnings report. The company’s focus remains on execution and strategic initiatives rather than quantitative forecasts.

Additional News
On August 4, 2025, Grocery Outlet announced the completion of its 15th annual Independence from Hunger® Food Drive, which raised more than $5 million to support local food banks. From June 25 to July 31, 540 stores nationwide collected in-store and online donations, including pre-assembled grocery bags. CEO Jason Potter praised the team and partners for their efforts, noting the campaign’s impact in providing meals for families facing food insecurity. Since 2011, the campaign has raised over $30 million in cash and food donations. Customers participated through donations, $5-off coupons, and online contributions, with online donations supporting the San Francisco Bay Area through a partnership with Alameda County Community Food Bank. Suppliers such as Conagra Brands and Wayne-Sanderson Farms also contributed product donations. No fees were deducted from the funds collected.