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Grocery Outlet's 2024 Q4 Earnings Call: Unraveling Contradictions in Strategy, Systems, and Margins

Earnings DecryptTuesday, Feb 25, 2025 8:27 pm ET
3min read
These are the key contradictions discussed in Grocery Outlet's latest 2024Q4 earnings call, specifically including: Systems Integration and Execution Improvements, Store Opening Strategy, Systems Issues Impact, Pricing and Value Proposition, and Margin Expectations:

GO Basic EPS, Debt-to-Equity Ratio...
Name
Date
Basic EPS(USD)
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Total Revenue(USD)
ROE(Average)%
Grocery OutletGO
2024 Q3
0.25
0.35
1.11B
3.04


Financial Performance and Value Improvement:
- Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. reported net sales of $1.1 billion for Q4, demonstrating a 10.9% increase, with a 2.9% increase in comparable store sales.
- The growth was driven by new store sales and improved value metrics, with a focus on providing deeper discounts and enhancing the value proposition to customers.

System and Operational Challenges:
- The company faced issues with inventory shrinkage and a significant ongoing problem with the supply and pricing of eggs, which impacted gross margins by approximately 50 basis points.
- These challenges were attributed to ongoing systems issues and supply chain disruptions that affected the company's operating efficiency and cost control.

Leadership and Strategic Focus:
- Grocery Outlet welcomed new leadership with Jason Potter as CEO, Chris Miller as CFO, and Kumar Mishra as CIO, all of whom bring extensive experience in their respective fields.
- The new leadership is focusing on improving operational execution, enhancing value communication, and optimizing inventory management to drive long-term growth and profitability.

Store Opening Strategy Reassessment:
- The company revised its new store opening strategy, aiming to open 33 to 35 net new stores in 2025, down from a previous target of 55 to 60 stores.
- This decision was made to focus on existing markets and adjacent new markets to improve new store sales productivity and return on invested capital, acknowledging execution challenges in non-adjacent markets.

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confused-student1028
02/26
Deep discounts are GO's ace, but will it keep working as supply chain issues simmer? Value hunters watching closely.
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xX_codgod420_Xx
02/26
33-35 new stores in 2025? Sounds like GO is taking a cautious approach to avoid cracking under pressure.
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Fluffy-Belt1325
02/26
@xX_codgod420_Xx Are they managing egg supply better?
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surveillance_raven
02/26
I'm holding a modest position in GO. Planning to add more if they show consistent improvement in 2025.
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donutloop
02/26
@surveillance_raven How long you been holding GO? You think they'll hit new highs this year?
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Bossie81
02/26
Supply chain issues are a never-ending saga. Hope $GO is better equipped to handle them with their new CIO at the helm.
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EmergencyWitness7
02/26
@Bossie81 New CIO might help, but supply chain's a beast.
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Elichotine
02/26
@Bossie81 Do you think GO can hit $100 soon?
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Silgro94
02/26
33-35 new stores in 2025 sounds like a more realistic goal. Focusing on existing markets could be a smart play.
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Hungry-Bee-8340
02/26
@Silgro94 Agreed, focusing on existing markets could help Grocery Outlet optimize resources and improve returns.
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Direct_Name_2996
02/26
Grocery Outlet's egg problem is a real yolk
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Medical-Truth-3248
02/26
@Direct_Name_2996 Grocery Outlet's egg-xecution could use some scrambling.
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AGailJones
02/26
New leadership, new vibes. Let's see the gains.
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themagicalpanda
02/26
@AGailJones What's your target price for GRO?
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Intelligent-Snow-930
02/26
GO's margin squeeze reminds me of when $TSLA had to tighten its belt during tough times. Stay vigilant.
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NoBicDeal
02/26
@Intelligent-Snow-930 Totally agree, tough times call for tough measures.
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whoisjian
02/26
@Intelligent-Snow-930 Any similarities in GO's challenges?
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Andrew ford
02/26

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Traditional_Wave8524
02/26
@Andrew ford alright
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bottomline77
02/26
10.9% sales increase is solid, but the real test will be maintaining that momentum with their new strategy.
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tinyraccoon
02/26
Grocery Outlet's egg-xpectations were cracked, but new leadership might just hatch a better strategy. 🥚
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stoked_7
02/26
@tinyraccoon Hope Grocery Outlet's yolk strategy doesn't leave them scrambling for profits. 🥚🤞
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DrSilentNut
02/26
GO's growth hinges on value metrics. Keep an eye on how they balance discounts without bleeding margins.
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Hoshigetsu
02/26
@DrSilentNut True, GO's margins thinning.
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Miguel_Legacy
02/26
33 new stores? Let's hope they crack the code.
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daarkann
02/26
Feels like GO is playing it safe, focusing on existing markets. Sometimes less is more, especially with execution challenges.
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getintocollegern
02/26
New CEO, CFO, and CIO on board—time to see if they can execute and deliver on their growth promises.
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