Greif A GEF 2025Q3 Earnings Preview Upside Ahead on Cost Optimization and EBITDA Growth

Generated by AI AgentAinvestweb
Sunday, Aug 24, 2025 7:31 pm ET1min read
Forward-Looking Analysis
Analysts project Greif A’s 2025Q3 earnings to meet or exceed expectations, with a consensus EPS forecast of $1.39, compared to $1.03 in the same quarter last year. The company has shown strong momentum in cost optimization, achieving $10 million in run-rate savings in Q2 2025. It raised full-year 2025 guidance for adjusted EBITDA to at least $725 million and free cash flow to $280 million. Analysts have assigned a “Moderate Buy” rating, reflecting confidence in the company’s ability to navigate sector headwinds and capitalize on market share gains in sustainable packaging.

Historical Performance Review
In 2025Q2, Greif reported revenue of $1.39 billion, net income of $54.50 million, EPS of $0.82, and gross profit of $319.50 million. The quarter saw record EBITDA growth, with adjusted EBITDA rising 300 basis points to 15.4%, and free cash flow reaching $110 million. Despite volume challenges in the metals segment, the company raised full-year guidance and highlighted progress in cost optimization, indicating a resilient operating model.

Additional News
Greif announced its Q3 2025 earnings report will be released after the market close on August 27, 2025, followed by an analyst call on August 28. The company received sustainability and workplace recognition, including Newsweek’s Top 100 Most Loved Workplaces and Gallup’s Exceptional Workplace Award. The fiber team was also awarded the U.S. Postal Service’s Supplier Innovation Award. Greif remains focused on its 2027 targets of $1 billion in EBITDA and $500 million in free cash flow, emphasizing strategic market investments and operational performance.

Summary & Outlook
Greif A’s financial health remains robust, with strong EBITDA and free cash flow growth, improved guidance, and progress on cost optimization. Key catalysts include market share gains in sustainable packaging, strategic investments, and continued operational efficiencies. While volume challenges persist in certain segments, the company’s guidance raises and consistent performance suggest a bullish outlook for the remainder of 2025. Investors should watch for execution on its 2027 targets and sustainability initiatives to drive long-term value.

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