GOOGL Whales Buy Puts at $360 as AI News Ignites a $410 Breakout Play

Generated byOptions FocusReviewed byThe Newsroom
Thursday, Aug 20, 2026 3:15 pm ET3min read
GOOGL--
  • Alphabet (GOOGL) dips 1.34% to $340.10 despite strong Q2 earnings and Berkshire’s massive 83% stake increase.
  • Heavy put buying at the $360 strike suggests short-term hedging, while the Put/Call ratio of 0.69 hints at underlying call dominance.
  • Rosenblatt’s $410 price target and Marvell’s $12.2B AI chip deal fuel long-term bullish sentiment.
  • Technicals show a short-term bearish trend but long-term ranging structure, with support near $338 and resistance at $344.

It’s a classic case of noise versus signal. Alphabet is down today, shedding about $4.60 from yesterday’s close, and the intraday action has been choppy. You can see the hesitation in the volume and the slight dip below the 30-day moving average. But if you look closer at the machinery underneath the price, something interesting is happening. The market isn’t necessarily screaming "sell." In fact, the options data tells a much more nuanced story that might just contradict the red on your screen.

The $360 Wall and the Whale’s Bet

Let’s talk about what the big money is doing right now. The most striking feature of today’s options activity is the heavy concentration of Open Interest (OI) in puts at the $360 strike for this Friday’s expiration. We saw two massive block trades totaling over $14 million in put volume at this specific level. On the surface, this looks like a bearish bet. But context is everything. The overall Put/Call ratio for open interest is sitting at a healthy 0.69, meaning there are significantly more calls than puts across the chain. This imbalance suggests that while some traders are hedging their long positions or betting on a short-term pullback, the broader institutional sentiment remains tilted toward the upside.

The $360 level is acting as a psychological and technical barrier. It’s just above the current price, and the heavy put OI there suggests that sellers are comfortable defending this level. If GOOGLGOOGL-- can’t break above it quickly, those put buyers might win. However, look at the call side. The highest call OI is at $400 with 25,455 contracts, followed by $350 with nearly 24,000 contracts. This distribution creates a tight range between $350 and $400 where most of the action is happening. The market is essentially saying, "We don’t know where it goes next week, but we’re heavily positioned for a move above $350 eventually."

The block trades in puts are likely institutional hedgers protecting gains from the recent earnings beat. Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway just increased its stake by 83%, and when you have that kind of conviction, short-term volatility is just noise. The $360 puts are insurance, not a crash prediction.

AI Momentum Outweighs the Dip

The fundamental backdrop for GOOGL is incredibly strong, and it’s hard to ignore. Just a few days ago, Alphabet reported Q2 earnings that crushed expectations, with EPS of $9.11 versus estimates of $2.89. Revenue hit $119.8 billion, driven largely by a 82% surge in Google Cloud revenue. That’s not just growth; that’s an inflection point. The market is finally seeing the ROI on those massive AI capital expenditures.

Adding to this narrative, Alphabet deepened its partnership with Marvell Technology in a $12.2 billion option deal to secure AI chip capacity. This diversifies their supply chain away from single-source dependencies and reinforces their infrastructure moat. Then you have Rosenblatt Securities upgrading GOOGL to a "Buy" with a $410 price target. That’s nearly 19% upside from the previous close. When you combine record bond issuance in Australia to fund this growth with analyst upgrades, the current dip looks like a buying opportunity rather than a trend reversal. The news flow is overwhelmingly positive, and the options market is pricing in a potential breakout once this short-term consolidation clears.

Trading the Setup

So, how do we trade this? The technicals show a short-term bearish trend with the price below the 30-day and 100-day moving averages. The RSI is at 56, which is neutral but leaning slightly bullish. The MACD histogram is negative, confirming the recent downward momentum. However, the 200-day moving average is at $332.42, providing a strong long-term floor. Support is currently testing the $338–$340 zone.

For stock traders, I’m looking for a re-entry near the current levels if support holds. Consider entering near $338.50 if you see stabilization, with a target of $350 for a quick swing, or holding for the $410 analyst target. Stop loss should be tight below $332.

For options traders, the risk/reward is interesting here. Since the $360 puts are heavily traded, they are expensive. Instead, look at the next Friday’s expiration (Aug 28). The call OI is building at $360 and $400. A bullish call spread could be attractive here. You could buy the GOOGL20260828C350GOOGL20260828C350-- call and sell the GOOGL20260828C370GOOGL20260828C370-- call to finance the trade. This caps your risk while allowing you to profit if the stock breaks above the current resistance at $344 and heads toward the $360–$370 zone.

Alternatively, if you believe the dip will continue, the GOOGL20260821P330GOOGL20260821P330-- put has significant OI (12,210 contracts) and is cheaper than the $360 puts. This offers a speculative play on a further drop to the $330 support level. However, given the strong fundamentals, I prefer the bullish bias. The $350 call for next Friday offers a good balance of premium cost and potential upside if the Marvell news and earnings momentum kick back in.

Volatility on the Horizon

Alphabet is at a crossroads of short-term technical weakness and long-term fundamental strength. The options market is hedging the near-term uncertainty, but the call side dominance and institutional buying suggest the path of least resistance is still up. The $360 level is the key battleground this week. If GOOGL can reclaim that level with volume, the $400 call wall becomes the next target. For now, patience is your best friend. Wait for the dust to settle around the $338 support, then position for the next leg up toward that $410 Rosenblatt target. The AI narrative is just getting started, and the market is slowly catching up.

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