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Goldman Sachs Sees More Larger-Scale Strategic Deals in 2025

Wesley ParkTuesday, Dec 10, 2024 11:36 am ET
3min read


As the global economy continues to evolve, so does the investment landscape. Goldman Sachs, a leading financial services firm, has recently shared its outlook for the coming years, highlighting an expected increase in larger-scale strategic deals in 2025. This article explores the factors contributing to this trend and the potential implications for investors.



Goldman Sachs' prediction is driven by several factors. Firstly, the firm notes an accelerating intensity in client dialog, indicating increased confidence among CEOs and clients in pursuing larger-scale transactions. Secondly, the re-election of Donald Trump is anticipated to result in less regulatory burden, unlocking more activity. Lastly, buyouts from private equity firms are expected to pick up next year, further contributing to the deal activity.



The political landscape, particularly the re-election of Donald Trump, is expected to influence the anticipated deal activity. Trump's business-friendly policies, including tax cuts and deregulation, are likely to encourage companies to engage in strategic deals. Additionally, his administration's focus on infrastructure spending and domestic manufacturing could lead to more consolidation in these sectors.

However, Trump's proposed tariffs could impact M&A activity, particularly in industries with high import/export dependencies. According to Goldman Sachs, CEOs and clients are expressing elevated confidence in larger-scale transactions, suggesting a potential increase in strategic activity. However, Walmart's CFO warned that tariffs could lead to price increases for consumers, which may dampen M&A activity in affected sectors. The outcome will depend on the extent and implementation of these tariffs.

Under a Trump administration, antitrust regulations may see a shift, potentially impacting the deal landscape. Goldman Sachs expects more larger-scale strategic deals in 2025, but changes in antitrust policies could influence merger approvals and enforcement. Trump's first term saw a more lenient approach to mergers, with the Justice Department and FTC approving several high-profile deals. However, a second term could bring further deregulation, potentially leading to more mergers and acquisitions. This could benefit companies seeking to consolidate their positions or expand into new markets. However, increased scrutiny from regulators and potential changes in merger review guidelines could also pose challenges.

In conclusion, Goldman Sachs' prediction of more larger-scale strategic deals in 2025 is driven by various factors, including increased client confidence, the political landscape, and expected changes in regulatory environments. While the impact of Trump's proposed tariffs and potential shifts in antitrust regulations remains uncertain, investors should closely monitor these developments to capitalize on the expected deal activity. By maintaining a balanced portfolio and staying informed about market trends, investors can position themselves to benefit from the strategic deals anticipated in the coming years.
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