Goldman Sachs Forecasts Oil Prices Around $76/bbl in 2025: Ample Supply and Geopolitical Tensions

Goldman Sachs, a leading global investment bank, has released its latest forecast for oil prices, predicting that Brent crude oil will trade around $76 per barrel in 2025. This projection is based on expectations of ample global supply, driven by increased production from OPEC+ countries and U.S. shale output. However, geopolitical tensions and potential supply disruptions may impact this forecast.


The global oil supply is set to increase in the coming years, with OPEC+ countries and U.S. shale producers expected to boost output. OPEC+ production cuts and U.S. shale output will influence the global oil supply in 2025, potentially leading to a surplus of oil and downward pressure on prices. However, geopolitical tensions and supply disruptions could alter this dynamic.

Renewable energy and electric vehicle (EV) adoption are expected to play a significant role in reducing oil demand by 2025. As more countries commit to net-zero emissions targets, the adoption of clean energy technologies is likely to accelerate. This shift could lead to a decrease in oil demand, further influencing prices.


Geopolitical tensions and supply disruptions could impact Goldman Sachs' forecast for ample oil supply in 2025. Conflicts in the Middle East and Russia, as well as potential disruptions to oil production and exports, could lead to supply shortages and upward pressure on prices. These factors may necessitate a reassessment of the current forecast.

The implications of Goldman Sachs' forecast for oil prices in 2025 on energy investors and the broader economy are significant. Lower oil prices could lead to reduced investment in the oil and gas sector, potentially impacting employment and economic growth. However, lower energy costs could also stimulate economic activity and consumer spending.

In conclusion, Goldman Sachs' forecast for oil prices around $76 per barrel in 2025 is based on expectations of ample global supply. However, geopolitical tensions and supply disruptions could impact this forecast, with significant implications for energy investors and the broader economy. As the energy landscape continues to evolve, investors and policymakers must stay informed about the latest developments and adapt their strategies accordingly.