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Gold prices
during Friday's session, climbing 0.6% to $4,504.79 per ounce. This extends gold's remarkable 72% annual gain fueled by shifting Fed policy and global uncertainties . Thin year-end liquidity amplified price movements as markets priced in additional U.S. rate cuts. Investors increasingly treat gold as insurance against currency debasement and policy risks.Gold's rally stems primarily from expectations of prolonged Federal Reserve easing in 2026
. Markets anticipate further rate cuts that reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion. Simultaneously, central bank purchases continue providing structural support despite slowing from 2024's pace. Escalating geopolitical tensions, including U.S. military actions in Nigeria and oil quarantines in Venezuela, intensified safe-haven demand during the session. Dollar weakness added momentum with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index down 0.7% weekly .ETF inflows demonstrate robust investor interest, with SPDR Gold Trust holdings expanding over 20% this year. Physical supply remains concentrated in key hubs like New York amid tariff uncertainty
. These factors converged during low-liquidity holiday trading . The precious metal now trades at unprecedented valuations as traditional inverse correlations with equities break down.
Silver jumped 3.6% to $74.56 per ounce, completing a staggering 158% annual climb
. Industrial demand constitutes a key differentiator, particularly from solar panel manufacturers needing increasing volumes per unit. The metal faces a five-year structural deficit of 800 million ounces while holding U.S. critical mineral status. Platinum gained 7.8% on supply constraints from South African mining disruptions and resilient automotive sector demand .Platinum's 165% year-to-date surge reflects investment rotation from gold and delayed EV adoption extending need for catalytic converters. Exchange inventories remain depleted across both metals, with physical supply failing to cover paper positions. The U.S. Commerce Department's national security review could impose tariffs, potentially worsening silver's supply dislocation
. Platinum additionally benefits from emerging hydrogen fuel-cell applications that extend demand visibility.Analysts project gold could reach $5,000 and silver $90 by mid-2026 based on current fundamentals
. OANDA's Kelvin Wong cites sustained drivers including central bank diversification, de-dollarization trends, and persistent geopolitical friction . Reliance Securities' Jigar Trivedi notes industrial consumption and supply constraints should support platinum's uptrend . The gold-silver ratio at 68 presents potential mean-reversion opportunities if industrial deficits persist.Divergent bank forecasts reflect uncertainty around Fed policy paths, ranging from $3,500 to $5,000. Goldman Sachs predicts $4,900 while JPMorgan and Bank of America target $5,000. Key risks include faster-than-expected Fed tightening or resolution of geopolitical conflicts. Still, fiscal dominance—where debt levels constrain rate hikes—could underpin the metals complex alongside physical market tightness.
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