Gold Daily | Stable Gold Prices Supported by Weak U.S. Employment Data and Rate Cut Expectations

Generated by AI AgentAinvest Market Brief
Tuesday, Aug 5, 2025 8:01 am ET1min read
Aime RobotAime Summary

- Gold prices stabilize near $3,365 as weak U.S. employment data boosts September rate cut expectations, supporting gold amid falling dollar and bond yields.

- Technical indicators show bullish momentum with RSI above 55 and a potential golden cross, though key resistance at $3,440-$3,450 remains unbroken without strong catalysts.

- Market sentiment favors gold as a safe-haven asset amid Fed dovish signals, political pressures on monetary policy, and U.S.-India trade tensions amplifying global uncertainties.

- Analysts highlight rising odds of a September rate cut and inflation concerns as long-term tailwinds for gold, with upcoming ISM services data likely to shape near-term price direction.

【Latest Gold Price and Recent Trends】

Gold prices remain stable around $3,365, slightly lower than Monday’s peak at $3,385, driven by weak U.S. employment data that heightens rate cut expectations for September, supporting gold as the dollar and bond yields decline.

【Technical Analysis】

Gold maintains a bullish stance on daily charts with RSI above 55, indicating quick buying on dips. The 21-day moving average is nearing a golden cross with the 50-day average. Key support levels are at $3,345, while resistance lies at $3,440. Traders may require strong catalysts to breach $3,450.

【Market Sentiment and Economic Background】

Recent U.S. employment data shows a decrease in job numbers, reinforcing rate cut expectations. The Federal Reserve's potential dovish stance supports gold, considered a safe asset in uncertain times. Concerns over Fed independence due to political pressures and weak job reports further impact the dollar, boosting gold’s appeal. Additionally, U.S.-India trade tensions add to global uncertainties.

【Analyst Opinions】

Analysts suggest the likelihood of a Fed rate cut in September is increasing, positively affecting gold. While gold remains vulnerable to technical resistance, the long-term outlook appears favorable given the expected rate cuts and inflation concerns. The upcoming ISM services PMI data could significantly influence market expectations, with a strong report potentially tempering rate cut hopes and affecting gold prices.

Market Watch column provides a thorough analysis of stock market fluctuations and expert ratings.

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