Gold Daily | Spot Gold Rebounds Amid Fed Rate Cut Remarks, Eyes $3,900 Resistance on Economic Uncertainty

Generated by AI AgentAinvest Market Brief
Saturday, Oct 4, 2025 8:01 am ET1min read
Aime RobotAime Summary

- Spot gold rebounds to $3,860/oz amid cautious Fed rate cut remarks, recovering from a $3,837.94 low amid record highs and sharp volatility.

- Technical analysis highlights $3,900 as key resistance; sustained above $3,850 could push prices toward $4,000, with critical supports at $3,803 and $3,700.

- Market sentiment remains bullish on gold due to 99% October rate cut expectations, economic uncertainty, and geopolitical tensions reinforcing its safe-haven appeal.

- Analysts including Goldman Sachs forecast $4,000 by mid-2026, citing prolonged Fed easing and structural demand amid delayed U.S. economic data from potential government shutdowns.

【Latest Gold Price and Recent Trends】

Spot gold is around $3,860 per ounce, rebounding from a low of $3,837.94. Recent volatility was driven by cautious Fed rate cut remarks, with gold prices reaching record highs before a sharp retreat.

【Technical Analysis】

According to Dhwani Mehta, as long as the 4-hour RSI remains above the midline, buyers are hopeful. Key resistance is at $3,900; breaking it could push prices to $4,000. Supports are at $3,803, $3,736, and $3,700.

【Market Sentiment and Economic Background】

Gold faced volatility following hawkish comments from Dallas Fed President Logan, sparking adjustments in rate cut expectations. Despite a temporary dollar recovery, gold remains supported with a potential 99% rate cut chance in October. The U.S. government shutdown could delay key data like the non-farm payroll report, influencing market dynamics. Economic uncertainties and geopolitical tensions sustain gold’s appeal as a safe haven asset.

【Analyst Opinions】

Valeria Bednarik sees recent declines as corrections, with long-term bullish sentiment intact. Bob Haberkorn notes Logan's comments have introduced caution about aggressive Fed actions. Christian Borjon Valencia suggests that if gold stays above $3,850, targets could shift to $3,900. Goldman Sachs emphasizes gold's bullish outlook, forecasting potential prices of $4,000 by mid-2026.

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