【Latest Gold Price and Recent Trends】
Gold prices have decreased by 0.5% to around $2731, following a strong dollar. Investors await U.S. economic data to gauge Fed policy. Last week, prices hit a record $2758.37.
【Technical Analysis】
Gold displayed weakness below $2750 but remains a "buy on dips" as long as it stays above the 38.2% Fibonacci level. If it breaks $2723, it may decline further to $2700 and $2681.
【Market Sentiment and Economic Background】
The strong dollar and high U.S. bond yields are pressuring gold. Traders expect a 98% chance of the Fed cutting rates by 25 basis points in November. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions and U.S. election uncertainties support gold as a hedge. China's gold demand has dropped due to high prices and economic slowdown.
【Analyst Opinions】
El-Erian notes that gold's record highs reflect a diversification away from the dollar. He cites central banks' slow diversification and the shift in payment systems as key drivers. Despite challenges, gold's upward momentum is strong, supported by geopolitical tensions and potential economic shifts.
Citi's Max Layton sees a favorable environment for gold and silver, predicting significant gains as Western economies slow while China's stimulus could boost growth. U.S. and Europe’s weak market performance combined with China's potential strength create a robust bullish setup for precious metals. Analysts predict gold could reach $3000 by next year.
Comments
No comments yet