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Genmab’s Q1 Surge: A Catalyst-Driven Ascend in Oncology Leadership

Clyde MorganFriday, May 9, 2025 2:41 pm ET
4min read

Genmab A/S (GMD) delivered a robust Q1 2025 performance, marking its evolution into a commercial-stage biotech powerhouse. With DARZALEX’s record sales, transformative pipeline advancements, and strategic financial positioning, the company is poised to capitalize on oncology’s growing therapeutic demands.

Ask Aime: Genmab A/S (GMD) Q1 2025 results impress investors

DARZALEX: The Engine of Growth

Genmab’s royalty-driven model remains its financial cornerstone, with DARZALEX (daratumumab) leading the charge. Q1 sales surged to $3.237 billion, a 20% year-over-year increase, fueled by demand for both its IV and subcutaneous formulations. U.S. sales accounted for 50% of global revenue, while international markets—including Europe and Japan—showed strong momentum. With Johnson & Johnson (J&J) maintaining aggressive commercialization, Genmab’s royalty intake rose 30% to $589 million, underpinning its $715 million total revenue (up 19% YoY).

Pipeline Momentum: From Trials to Markets

Genmab’s pipeline is now its second growth lever, with four late-stage programs advancing rapidly:

EPKINLY® (epcoritamab): A Dual-Target Breakthrough

EPKINLY’s $90 million in Q1 sales (up 73% YoY) reflect its rising adoption as a bispecific CD3/CD20 antibody for B-cell lymphomas. Recent wins include:
- Japan’s approval for relapsed/refractory follicular lymphoma (FL), its second indication in the market.
- NCCN’s Category 2a recommendation for first-line relapsed/refractory DLBCL, positioning it as a preferred therapy.
- Phase 3 data for first-line DLBCL and FL are expected in 2025, which could expand its addressable market to $2.1 billion by 2030 (EvaluatePharma).

Tivdak® (tisotumab vedotin): First-in-Class Cervical Cancer ADC

Approved in the EU and Japan for recurrent/metastatic cervical cancer, Tivdak’s sales rose 22% to $33 million, driven by its Category 1 NCCN recommendation as a preferred second-line therapy. With cervical cancer’s global incidence rising and limited treatment options, Tivdak’s $4.5 billion potential peak sales (analyst estimates) make it a critical diversification asset.

Ask Aime: What's driving Genmab's Q1 2025 performance?

Rina-S® (rinatabart sesutecan): Aiming for Best-in-Class Ovarian Cancer Therapy

Data from the 2025 Society of Gynecologic Oncology Annual Meeting highlighted Rina-S’s 44% confirmed ORR in platinum-resistant ovarian cancer (PROC), with minimal safety concerns. Phase 3 trials in PROC and endometrial cancer are progressing, and if approved, Rina-S could capture a $1.3 billion market (GlobalData). However, its development contributed to a $40 million increase in operating expenses (to $527 million), underscoring Genmab’s commitment to high-risk, high-reward programs.

Financials and Strategy: A Roadmap for Growth

Genmab’s Q1 results reaffirm its 2025 guidance:
- Revenue: $3.34–3.66 billion (+12% midpoint YoY).
- Operating profit: $1.13 billion (+16% YoY).
- Cash balance: $3.2 billion, enabling $2.14 billion in R&D spending (+7% YoY) and potential shareholder returns.

GMAB Total Revenue YoY, Total Revenue

Risks and Considerations

  • Patent cliffs: DARZALEX’s U.S. patent expires in 2028, risking generic competition.
  • Regulatory delays: Rina-S’s Phase 3 data (expected late 2025) and EPKINLY’s first-line approvals are critical milestones.
  • Market saturation: DARZALEX’s growth may slow as it matures in multiple myeloma indications.

Conclusion: A Biotech on the Brink of Transformation

Genmab’s Q1 results signal a strategic inflection point. With DARZALEX’s sustained dominance, EPKINLY and Tivdak’s commercial ascension, and Rina-S’s potential to redefine ovarian cancer treatment, the company is transitioning from a royalty-dependent firm to a fully integrated oncology leader.

The $3.2 billion cash buffer and 2025 guidance (implying a $3.5 billion revenue midpoint) suggest resilience against near-term risks. Analyst consensus values Genmab at $14.30 per share (DAN) in 2025, with upside potential if Rina-S and EPKINLY’s Phase 3 trials succeed. Investors should monitor Q3 2025 data reads for Rina-S and EPKINLY’s first-line DLBCL trial, which could re-rate the stock to a $17–20 target range.

In a crowded oncology space, Genmab’s combination of validated late-stage assets, diverse revenue streams, and financial flexibility positions it as a compelling play for both growth and stability—a rare find in today’s biotech landscape.

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tostitostiesto
05/09
$GMD has cash to spare, future looks bright.
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ZestycloseAd7528
05/09
Holding GMD long-term, betting on EPKINLY's success.
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mardie007
05/09
@ZestycloseAd7528 How long you planning to hold GMD? Got a specific target in mind?
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therealchengarang
05/09
Rina-S's ORR in PROC is solid. Betting on its Phase 3 success could be a game-changer. 🚀
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abdul10000
05/09
DARZALEX sales are insane, but patent cliff looms.
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Particular-Ad-8433
05/09
@abdul10000 Patent cliff risk is real, but GMD's pipeline could buffer the drop.
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No_Cartographer_5298
05/09
@abdul10000 What do you think about EPKINLY's potential?
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Ecstatic_Book4786
05/09
EPKINLY's dual-target approach is innovative. CD3/CD20 combo might set a new standard. Keep an eye on its growth.
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investortrade
05/09
GMD's pipeline is 🔥, but R&D costs rising.
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Particular-Ad-8433
05/09
Tivdak's EU approval is a major win.
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PunchTornado
05/09
$GMD's cash buffer is hefty. Could fuel more R&D and M&A. Bullish on their future pipeline moves.
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provoko
05/09
Rina-S's ORR data looks promising, keep watching.
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amateurwater
05/09
@provoko True, Rina-S data looks solid.
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Monkiyness
05/09
Tivdak's EU and Japan approvals are a win. Cervical cancer market could use more options. This one's a sleeper.
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StockTrex
05/09
Damn!!I profited significantly from the signal generated by GMAB stock.
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