Genius Sports Outlook: Mixed Signals Amid Weak Technicals and Strong Fundamentals

Market Snapshot

Takeaway: Genius Sports (GENI.N) is showing a weak technical outlook with a declining price trend (-2.40%), but strong fundamentals suggest long-term value.

News Highlights

Recent news highlights include:

• Outpace SEO's specialized SEO services for the home services industry (May 30, 2025). While not directly related, it reflects growing demand for tech-driven services, which could indirectly benefit Genius Sports.
• Super League's partnership with AdArcade to bring mobile gaming ads (May 27, 2025). This suggests growing digital ad opportunities, a space Genius Sports could leverage.
• Supreme Court ruling on tax implications for OTT platforms and gaming apps (May 30, 2025). Increased tax burden could affect profitability for such digital companies, potentially weighing on Genius Sports if it operates in this space.

Analyst Views & Fundamentals

Analysts from Benchmark, led by Mike Hickey, have issued a Strong Buy rating with an internal diagnostic score of 5.00 for the simple average and 4.86 for the performance-weighted rating. The consensus is consistent, with one analyst voicing optimism recently.

The current price trend (-2.40%) contrasts with the analysts' upbeat outlook, suggesting a possible divergence between market sentiment and expert expectations.

Key fundamental factors and their internal diagnostic scores (0-10) are as follows:

• Net income / Revenue: -13.31% (Score: 5.99)
• Quick ratio: 220.94% (Score: 2.00)
• P/B-ROE: 178.39% (Score: 10.40)
• Net profit attributable to parent company shareholders / Net profit: 100.00% (Score: 1.97)

Money-Flow Trends

Money-flow data reveals a mixed picture. While small-cap inflows are positive (50.24% inflow ratio), block and medium flows are negative, indicating caution among large investors. The overall inflow ratio stands at 49.28%, with extra-large flows at 47.89%, which suggests a bearish bias at the institutional level.

Key Technical Signals

Technically, Genius Sports is struggling. The internal diagnostic technical score is 3.82, and bearish indicators dominate (3 vs. 1 bullish). Here's a breakdown of key indicators and their scores:

• WR Oversold: Internal score 3.67 (neutral rise)
• RSI Overbought: Internal score 1.00 (biased bearish)
• Three Black Crows: Internal score 8.07 (strong bullish)
• Bullish Engulfing: Internal score 5.35 (neutral rise)
• Marubozu White: Internal score 1.00 (biased bearish)

Recent chart patterns include the Three Black Crows on 2025-12-30 and Marubozu White on 2025-12-11, which suggest increasing bearish momentum in the short term.

Conclusion

With mixed signals across the board, Genius Sports presents a compelling but complex picture. The internal technical score of 3.82 suggests caution, and the recent bearish patterns warrant attention. However, the fundamental score of 9.58 and the analyst consensus point to long-term potential. Investors might want to consider waiting for a pull-back or to monitor the stock after upcoming earnings for better entry points.