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Exxon Mobil (XOM) has been a popular stock search on Zacks.com, with shares returning -1% over the past month. The company's earnings estimates have been revised, with a current estimate of $1.46 per share for Q1, a -31.8% YoY change. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current fiscal year is $6.41, a -17.7% change from last year. Exxon's Zacks Rank is #3 (Hold), indicating a neutral near-term price performance.

Spring, Texas-based Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is set to release its fiscal second-quarter earnings for 2025 before the market opens on Friday, Aug. 1. The oil giant, with a market cap of $497.5 billion, provides exploration and production of integrated fuels, lubricants, chemicals, and refined products for various industries.

Analysts expect XOM to report a profit of $1.44 per share on a diluted basis, a 32.7% decrease from $2.14 per share in the year-ago quarter [1][2]. This drop is attributed to lower oil and natural gas prices, which have impacted the company's exploration and production activities. Geopolitical risks, regulatory hurdles, and environmental challenges also pose threats to the company's earnings.

For the full year, analysts expect XOM to report EPS of $6.38, a 18.1% decrease from $7.79 in fiscal 2024. However, its EPS is expected to rise 12.9% year-over-year to $7.20 in fiscal 2026 [1][2].

XOM's stock has underperformed the S&P 500 Index's 11.6% gains over the past 52 weeks, with shares up marginally during this period. However, it outperformed the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund's (XLE) 2.6% decline over the same time frame [1][2]. The company's underperformance is primarily due to lower commodity prices, impacting its upstream business.

On May 2, XOM reported its Q1 results, with its adjusted EPS of $1.76 beating Wall Street expectations of $1.74. The company's revenue was $83.1 billion, falling short of Wall Street forecasts of $84.2 billion [1][2].

Analysts' consensus opinion on XOM stock is reasonably bullish, with a "Moderate Buy" rating overall. Out of 24 analysts covering the stock, 15 advise a "Strong Buy" rating, one suggests a "Moderate Buy," seven give a "Hold," and one recommends a "Strong Sell." XOM's average analyst price target is $122.78, indicating a potential upside of 7.8% from the current levels [1][2].

References:

[1] https://finance.yahoo.com/news/exxon-mobil-earnings-preview-expect-131024385.html
[2] https://www.barchart.com/story/news/33409283/exxon-mobil-earnings-preview-what-to-expect