Fresh Del Monte Produce's 15min chart shows Bollinger Bands Narrowing, Bearish Marubozu signal.

Fresh Del Monte Produce's 15-minute chart has exhibited a notable trend, as evidenced by the activation of Bollinger Bands Narrowing and the appearance of a Bearish Marubozu pattern on September 25, 2025 at 10:30. This development suggests a reduction in the magnitude of stock price fluctuations, indicating that sellers are presently dominant in the market. Consequently, there is a likelihood that bearish momentum will persist.

Mission Produce, Inc. (AVO), a key player in the fresh produce industry, has demonstrated resilience in the face of softer overall demand. The company's fiscal third quarter results, released recently, highlight its strategic advantages and ability to navigate a complex market environment. AVO reported record revenues of $357.7 million, up 10% year over year, driven by higher avocado volumes and disciplined pricing despite global oversupply pressures Can Mission Produce Outperform Amid Soft Produce Demand?^[1].

A significant factor contributing to AVO's outperformance is its ability to flex across sourcing regions, particularly Peru and Mexico. Stronger Peruvian yields and normalized Mexican supply allowed the company to optimize its sourcing mix, maintaining both volume and margins. Additionally, AVO has leaned on international expansion, with European sales jumping 37% year over year and Asia opening new channels. This diversified footprint provides insulation from U.S. pricing volatility and positions the company to capture global consumption growth in avocados and emerging produce categories Can Mission Produce Outperform Amid Soft Produce Demand?^[1].

Looking ahead, challenges remain with lower pricing expected in the fourth quarter, down as much as 20-25% year over year as supply increases. However, AVO's investment in operational enhancements, packhouse upgrades in Mexico, and diversification into mangoes and blueberries suggests it is well-positioned to balance margin pressure with volume gains. The company's strong balance sheet and moderating capital spending also provide flexibility for growth and shareholder value creation Can Mission Produce Outperform Amid Soft Produce Demand?^[1].

AVO faces stiff competition from Calavo Growers, Inc. (CVGW) and Fresh Del Monte Produce Inc. (FDP), both of which have unique strategic strengths. Calavo Growers has built a reputation as a leading avocado marketer in the U.S., with additional strength in prepared foods and guacamole. Fresh Del Monte, on the other hand, is a diversified global produce powerhouse with leadership in bananas, pineapples, avocados, and value-added fresh-cut products. Both companies have focused on cost optimization, efficiency, and innovation to maintain market presence and drive growth Can Mission Produce Outperform Amid Soft Produce Demand?^[1].

Shares of Mission Produce have gained 27.7% in the last six months compared to the industry's growth of 12%. From a valuation standpoint, AVO trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 25.07X, significantly above the industry's average of 14.67X. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AVO's fiscal 2025 and 2026 earnings suggests a year-over-year decline of 9.5% and 28.4%, respectively, with estimates moving northwards in the past 30 days Can Mission Produce Outperform Amid Soft Produce Demand?^[1].