Freightos Soars 30.8% on Q4 KPI Triumph: Is This the Dawn of a New Bull Run?

Summary
• Freightos (CRGO) surges 30.8% intraday, trading at $2.76 after opening at $2.28
• Q4 2025 KPIs exceed management expectations, with 27% YoY growth in transactions and GBV
• Earnings report scheduled for February 23, 2026, fuels investor anticipation

Freightos’ stock has erupted in a dramatic 30.8% intraday rally, driven by robust Q4 2025 KPIs that outperformed management forecasts. The company’s 27% YoY growth in transactions and $357M in gross booking value (GBV) has ignited market optimism. With a 52-week high of $4.42 still in reach, investors are weighing whether this surge marks a turning point for the struggling logistics platform.

Q4 KPIs and Earnings Anticipation Ignite CRGO’s 30.8% Rally
Freightos’ 30.8% intraday surge is directly tied to its Q4 2025 KPIs, which exceeded management expectations. The company reported 445,000 transactions (up 27% YoY) and $357M in GBV (up 27% YoY), driven by WebCargo and 7LFreight platform growth. CEO Pablo Pinillos emphasized the platform’s resilience and expansion into regional carriers, positioning Freightos as a key player in digitizing global freight. The upcoming February 23 earnings report has further stoked speculation about potential revenue upside, particularly as the company prepares for broader ocean carrier integration.

Air Freight & Logistics Sector Rally: UPS Gains 1.01% as Freightos Soars
The Air Freight & Logistics sector, led by United Parcel Service (UPS), has seen a modest 1.01% intraday gain, contrasting with Freightos’ 30.8% surge. While UPS’ growth is driven by stable e-commerce demand, Freightos’ rally reflects investor enthusiasm for its platform-driven KPIs and strategic expansion. The sector’s mixed performance highlights Freightos’ unique positioning as a digital infrastructure play, leveraging transaction density and carrier network growth to differentiate itself from traditional logistics peers.

Technical Playbook: CRGO’s 30.8% Surge and Key Levels to Watch
• RSI: 38.0 (oversold territory)
• MACD: -0.210 (bullish crossover with signal line at -0.219)
• Bollinger Bands: Upper at $2.847 (near current price), Middle at $2.391, Lower at $1.936
• 200D MA: $2.798 (current price at $2.76 slightly below)

Freightos’ 30.8% intraday rally has pushed the stock near its upper Bollinger Band, suggesting short-term overbought conditions. The RSI at 38.0 indicates oversold territory, hinting at potential for a rebound. The MACD crossing above the signal line (-0.210 vs. -0.219) signals a bullish crossover. Key resistance lies at $2.81 (intraday high), with support at $2.265 (intraday low). A breakout above $2.81 could target the 52-week high of $4.42, while a breakdown below $2.265 may trigger a retest of the 52-week low at $1.7182. Given the absence of options liquidity, traders should focus on technical levels and the February 23 earnings report as catalysts.

Backtest Freightos Stock Performance
The backtest of CRGO's performance after a 31% intraday increase from 2022 to now shows mixed results. While the stock experienced a maximum return of 7.10% on January 57, the overall 3-day win rate is 45.48%, the 10-day win rate is 46.11%, and the 30-day win rate is 48.29%. This indicates that while there were some positive short-term gains, they were not consistently maintained over longer periods.

Act Now: CRGO’s 30.8% Rally – Is the Bull Run Just Beginning?
Freightos’ 30.8% intraday surge underscores its potential to capitalize on digital freight adoption, but sustainability hinges on earnings clarity and execution against its expansion roadmap. The stock’s proximity to the upper Bollinger Band and bullish MACD crossover suggest a short-term rally, though the 52-week high remains a distant target. Investors should monitor the February 23 earnings report for revenue guidance and the company’s progress in integrating ocean carriers. Meanwhile, the sector leader UPS’ 1.01% gain highlights broader logistics sector resilience. For aggressive bulls, a breakout above $2.81 could validate a new bullish phase; for cautious traders, a breakdown below $2.265 may signal a reentry opportunity. The key takeaway: position for volatility, but anchor decisions to Freightos’ ability to deliver on its KPI-driven growth narrative.