Freight Technologies Plummets 19%: What's Behind the Black Swan Move?

Summary
• Freight Technologies (FRGT) slumps 19.35% intraday to $2.42, hitting 52W low of $2.3004
• Intraday swing of $1.01 (33.4%) from high of $3.31 to low of $2.3004
• Recent strategic AI partnerships and Trump token treasury raise questions about liquidity risks

Freight Technologies’ stock has imploded on Monday, trading down nearly 20% from its opening price of $2.98. The selloff coincides with a trading halt notice and a string of AI-driven logistics product launches, while the broader Software - Application sector remains cautiously optimistic. With the stock now near its 52-week low, investors are scrambling to decode the catalyst behind this sharp correction.

Trading Halt and Strategic Overreach Trigger Panic
The collapse in FRGT’s share price follows a trading halt notice issued by the company, with no immediate clarity on the pending news. Compounding investor anxiety are recent strategic moves: a $20 million Trump token treasury, AI tendering bots, and a reverse share split that diluted existing shareholders. While the company touts AI advancements in freight logistics, the lack of revenue growth (2024 revenue fell 19.53% to $13.73M) and persistent losses (-$5.6M in 2024) suggest operational challenges. The intraday low of $2.3004—just $0.0004 above the 52W low—reflects a liquidity crisis exacerbated by the 12.19% turnover rate.

Software - Application Sector Steadies as Microsoft Drives Mixed Sentiment
While Freight Technologies’ sector peers remain relatively stable, Microsoft (MSFT) led the Software - Application sector with a -0.81% intraday decline. The tech giant’s performance highlights broader market caution toward AI-driven growth stories, particularly those with unproven monetization models. FRGT’s collapse, however, is an outlier, driven by company-specific risks rather than sector-wide dynamics. The contrast underscores the fragility of speculative plays in a sector dominated by capital-efficient leaders.

Bearish Technicals and Liquidity Risks Demand Short-Side Focus
• RSI: 30.87 (oversold)
• MACD: -0.0737 (bearish divergence)
• 200D MA: $1.3477 (price at 83% discount)
• Bollinger Bands: $2.42 near lower band ($0.5839–$0.8809)

FRGT’s technicals scream short-term capitulation. The RSI in oversold territory and MACD histogram contraction confirm a deepening bearish trend. With the stock trading 83% below its 200-day average and Bollinger Bands indicating extreme volatility, the setup favors aggressive shorting. The lack of options liquidity forces reliance on ETFs, but none are available for FRGT. Sector leaders like Microsoft (-0.81%) suggest broader caution, though FRGT’s collapse is more acute. No options data is available to construct a leveraged play, but a 5% downside scenario (targeting $2.30) would align with the 52W low, offering a high-probability short setup.

Backtest Freight Technologies Stock Performance
The backtest of the Franklin Templeton Global Bond ETF (FRGT) after a -19% intraday plunge from 2022 to now shows mixed short-term performance but a consistent long-term underperformance. The 3-Day win rate is 39.90%, the 10-Day win rate is 35.96%, and the 30-Day win rate is 31.85%, indicating a higher probability of positive returns in the short term. However, the cumulative returns over these periods are negative, with a -1.03% return over 3 days, a -3.77% return over 10 days, and a -13.72% return over 30 days. The maximum return during the backtest was -0.25%, which occurred on the final day of the backtest period, December 15, 2025.

Immediate Action Required: Short FRGT Below $2.40
Freight Technologies’ freefall is far from over. With technical indicators in bearish alignment, a liquidity-starved float, and no near-term catalysts for reversal, the stock is primed for further declines. The 52W low of $2.3004 looms as a critical support level; a break below $2.30 would confirm a new downtrend. Investors should short FRGT below $2.40 with a stop above $2.50. Meanwhile, Microsoft’s -0.81% decline signals sector caution, reinforcing the case for defensive positioning. This is a high-conviction short trade—execute now before the next leg down.