Ford's Q1 2025: Unpacking Contradictions in Tariff Impacts, EV Strategy, and Warranty Costs

Earnings DecryptTuesday, May 6, 2025 7:34 pm ET
2min read
Tariff impact and cost management, EV and compliance policies, tariff impact on financial statements, and warranty cost and improvement are the key contradictions discussed in Ford's latest 2025Q1 earnings call.



Tariff Impact and Cost Management:
- Ford supports the US administration's efforts to strengthen the economy and American manufacturing, with an estimated gross tariff impact of $2.5 billion on full-year total company EBIT and a net impact of $1.5 billion.
- The cost is primarily from parts and imported vehicles, with mitigation strategies including bonded carriers and resourcing actions to increase domestic content.
- The impact is due to tariffs on imported parts and vehicles, necessitating cost adjustments and production strategy changes.

Strong Operational Performance:
- Ford delivered best first quarter US pickup sales in over 20 years, with sequential share growth in its home market.
- The company successfully executed several major product launches globally and achieved progress on cost and quality targets.
- The performance is attributed to strong demand for their vehicles, successful product launches, and effective cost and quality management.

Ford Pro's Resilience:
- Ford Pro, serving as a competitive advantage, saw solid performance despite planned downtime and industry price normalization.
- Demand for key products like Super Duty chassis cabs and transit wagons remained strong.
- The segment's resilience is due to its comprehensive service offerings and innovative software solutions, targeting 20% of Pro's EBIT from software and services by the end of the year.

Model e's Growth and Cost Reduction:
- Model e wholesale volumes more than doubled in Q1, driven by strong European launches like Explorer, Capri, and Puma Gen-E.
- Ford reported 15% US retail sales growth, supported by the Ford Power Promise campaign.
- The growth is attributed to successful product launches and cost-reduction efforts, making next-generation products more affordable.

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