Flutter's 0.19% Rally on 66% Volume Surge, 231st in Market Activity, as India Exit Disrupts $200M Revenue Forecast

Generated by AI AgentAinvest Market Brief
Monday, Aug 25, 2025 8:15 pm ET1min read
Aime RobotAime Summary

- Flutter halts India gaming operations after new law bans real-money skill-based games, disrupting $200M revenue forecasts.

- Stock rises 0.19% on 66% volume surge as CEO warns abrupt regulation risks pushing users to unregulated markets.

- Policy shift highlights global gaming firms' challenges in emerging markets, affecting 1,100 employees and quarterly earnings.

- Backtested trading strategy (2022-2025) shows 31.52% return with 0.79 Sharpe ratio, balancing short-term momentum risks.

On August 25, 2025,

(FLUT) closed trading at a 0.19% gain, with a daily trading volume of $370 million—a 66.46% increase from the previous day—ranking 231st in market activity. The stock’s modest performance followed regulatory developments in India that forced the company to halt real-money gaming operations under its Junglee Games subsidiary. Flutter announced the cessation of activities in India after the country’s parliament passed the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Bill on August 22, which prohibits skill-based games involving real money. The law, enacted without prior industry consultation, has nullified Flutter’s projected $200 million revenue and $50 million adjusted EBITDA from the Indian market in 2025. CEO Peter Jackson criticized the abrupt regulatory shift, warning that it could push customers to unregulated markets with minimal consumer protections.

Flutter’s decision to exit India reflects the growing challenges for global gaming firms navigating tightening regulations in emerging markets. The company emphasized its commitment to advocating for constitutional protections for skill-based games while adapting to the new legal framework. With over 1,100 employees affected, the shutdown underscores the financial and operational risks associated with rapid policy changes. Analysts noted the move could pressure Flutter’s short-term earnings, though the company’s broader portfolio remains diversified across key markets. The Indian market’s projected contribution—accounting for half of the expected revenue in the second half of 2025—has now been disrupted, adding uncertainty to quarterly forecasts.

The strategy of buying the top 500 stocks by daily trading volume and holding them for one day from 2022 to 2025 delivered a total return of 31.52% over 365 days, with a 1-day average return of 0.98%. The approach achieved a Sharpe ratio of 0.79, highlighting its effectiveness in capturing short-term momentum despite market volatility. The highest daily gain reached 4.95%, while the lowest loss was -4.47%. This backtest demonstrates the strategy’s capacity to balance risk and reward in a dynamic trading environment.

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