Flowserve: Leading the Shift to Sustainable Infrastructure with Dividend Resilience

Marcus LeeSaturday, May 17, 2025 1:35 am ET
58min read

The global push to decarbonize energy systems and infrastructure is creating massive opportunities for companies at the intersection of sustainability and industrial innovation. Flowserve Corporation (NYSE: FLS), a leader in pumps, valves, and fluid control systems, is positioning itself at the forefront of this transition—thanks to strategic leadership changes, robust financial performance, and a clear roadmap to capitalize on structural growth. Here’s why investors should consider Flowserve as a key play in the $5+ trillion decarbonization market.

The Climate Tech Catalyst: Ross Shuster’s Board Appointment

In May 2025, Ross Shuster—a veteran of climate technology leadership—was elected to Flowserve’s Board of Directors. As CEO of Copeland, a Blackstone-backed climate technologies firm, Shuster brings over 25 years of experience in scaling sustainability-focused businesses. His expertise in HVACR (heating, ventilation, refrigeration) systems, electrification, and low-GWP refrigerants directly aligns with Flowserve’s pivot toward nuclear energy, industrial decarbonization, and sustainable cold chains.

Shuster’s appointment signals a strategic deepening of Flowserve’s focus on sustainable infrastructure markets, including:
- Nuclear Power: Flowserve’s advanced pumps and valves are critical to new nuclear projects, which are projected to grow at 6% annually through 2030. The company secured $100 million in nuclear awards in Q1 2025 alone.
- Industrial Decarbonization: Flowserve’s engineered systems enable clients to reduce emissions in sectors like oil refining, chemical production, and power generation.
- Cold Chain Resilience: Copeland’s parent company, Blackstone Climate Technologies, collaborates with Flowserve to optimize refrigeration systems for pharmaceuticals and food logistics—a $120 billion market by 2030.

Financial Resilience: Outperforming in a Volatile Market

Flowserve’s Q1 2025 results underscore its financial strength amid macroeconomic headwinds:
- Revenue rose 5.2% to $1.14 billion, driven by a 18.1% surge in bookings to $1.2 billion. Aftermarket sales—a high-margin segment—hit a record $688.6 million (+19.6%).
- Adjusted EPS jumped 24.1% to $0.72, outpacing estimates. Gross margins expanded to 33.5%, reflecting operational efficiency gains from the Mogus acquisition integration.
- Backlog grew 11.1% to $2.9 billion, signaling strong demand visibility.

Despite these positives, Flowserve’s stock trades at a P/E ratio of 16.5, below its 5-year average and cheaper than peers like ITW (ITW) (P/E 22.3) and Dover (DOV) (P/E 21.8). This undervaluation persists even as Flowserve executes on its 2027 financial targets, which include margin expansion and market share gains in decarbonization-linked sectors.

Risks vs. Strategic Advantages

Critics may point to risks such as supply chain disruptions, trade tariffs, and hyperinflation in key markets like Argentina. However, Flowserve’s dividend stability (19 consecutive years of payments) and strategic moves mitigate these concerns:
1. Mogus Synergies: The acquisition of MOGUS—a manufacturer of engineered pumps and valves—is already delivering margin uplifts and cross-selling opportunities.
2. Tariff Mitigation: Management has offset trade barriers through pricing adjustments and supply chain diversification.
3. Capital Allocation Discipline: Flowserve maintains a target leverage ratio of 2.5x, ensuring flexibility to invest in high-return projects while sustaining dividends.

Why Act Now?

Flowserve is uniquely positioned to benefit from two megatrends:
1. Global Decarbonization: The International Energy Agency estimates $43 trillion in energy infrastructure investment through 2030, with Flowserve’s systems critical to projects like nuclear plants and hydrogen facilities.
2. Aftermarket Dominance: With a 30%-plus gross margin, Flowserve’s aftermarket business provides a steady cash flow base to fund innovation and dividends.

The stock’s current valuation leaves room for upside as these trends materialize. Analysts at Baird and Citigroup have highlighted Flowserve’s bookings momentum and pricing power as catalysts for revaluation.

Conclusion: A Rare Mix of Growth and Stability

Flowserve combines Ross Shuster’s climate tech expertise, financial resilience, and strategic execution to deliver a compelling risk-reward profile. With a dividend yield of 1.64% (secure for the long term) and exposure to trillion-dollar decarbonization markets, this is a stock primed to outperform as the world transitions to sustainable infrastructure.

Investors seeking to profit from the energy transition—and avoid overvalued tech darlings—should consider Flowserve as a core holding for the next decade.