icon
icon
icon
icon
Upgrade
icon

Flight Centre's Disappointing Q1 Earnings Send Shares Tumbling

AInvestThursday, Oct 17, 2024 9:31 pm ET
1min read
Flight Centre Travel Group Ltd (ASX: FLT) shares plummeted to an over 10-month low on Friday, following the release of a dismal Q1 profit report. The travel stock closed at $18.05, down 16.5% from the previous day's closing price of $21.62. This sharp decline comes despite the company's efforts to highlight operational improvements and cost-cutting measures.

The company reported a record Total Transaction Value (TTV) and operating cash inflow of $421 million in FY 2024. However, the market reacted negatively to the uncertainty surrounding the company's earnings outlook for FY 2025. Management expressed caution about the year ahead, citing inconsistent month-to-month trading patterns and uncertainty in the travel industry.

The uncertainty in the travel industry played a significant role in the share price decline. The ongoing geopolitical tensions, economic slowdown, and changing consumer preferences have made it challenging for travel companies to predict future earnings. Moreover, the increasing competition in the online travel market has put additional pressure on traditional travel agencies like Flight Centre.

Other travel stocks have also experienced volatility in recent months, but Flight Centre's decline was particularly pronounced. Qantas Airways (ASX: QAN) shares were down 0.4% on Friday, while Webjet (ASX: WEB) shares fell by 3.7%. The broader ASX 200 index was down 0.4% on the same day.

Flight Centre's earnings growth in Q1 fell short of analyst expectations, with a consensus EPS forecast of $4.11 for the fiscal quarter 2024 (Q1). The company's earnings per share of $3.8 in Q1 2024 were lower than the $4.48 reported in Q4 2023. This earnings miss contributed to the share price decline.

Looking ahead, Flight Centre's earnings growth prospects remain uncertain. Management expects normal industry growth of 4% to 5% in Australian outbound travel but warns of declining airline ticket prices. The company aims for a 2% underlying profit before tax margin in FY 2025, with overall profit growth as the main priority. However, investors should remain cautious, as the company's earnings trajectory may face challenges in the coming quarters.

In conclusion, Flight Centre's disappointing Q1 earnings and the uncertainty in the travel industry have sent the company's shares tumbling to an over 10-month low. While the company has made operational improvements and cost-cutting measures, investors remain concerned about the company's earnings outlook for FY 2025. As the travel industry continues to evolve, Flight Centre must adapt and innovate to maintain its competitive edge and restore investor confidence.
Disclaimer: the above is a summary showing certain market information. AInvest is not responsible for any data errors, omissions or other information that may be displayed incorrectly as the data is derived from a third party source. Communications displaying market prices, data and other information available in this post are meant for informational purposes only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security. Please do your own research when investing. All investments involve risk and the past performance of a security, or financial product does not guarantee future results or returns. Keep in mind that while diversification may help spread risk, it does not assure a profit, or protect against loss in a down market.