According to Fiserv's 15-minute chart, two technical indicators, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) and the KDJ (Stochastic Oscillator), have crossed over in a bearish manner at 09:45 on August 22, 2025. This crossover is a bearish signal, suggesting that the stock price has the potential to continue falling. Furthermore, the momentum of the stock price is shifting towards the downside, which increases the likelihood of further decreases in the stock's value.
Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ: NVDA), a leading artificial intelligence (AI) chipmaker, has seen significant fluctuations in its stock price over the past few months. According to 24/7 Wall St., the stock has surged 29.6% over the past 90 days but pulled back 3.3% in the past week, still outperforming the S&P 500 and Nasdaq year-to-date [1]. The stock's recent performance has been influenced by mixed reactions to its earnings and geopolitical uncertainties.
Nvidia's first-quarter earnings report showed a mixed performance, with revenue totaling $44.1 billion, up more than 69% year-over-year. However, the company faced a significant $5.5 billion charge tied to H20 chip export restrictions to China. This led to a substantial drop in the stock price early in 2025 [1]. The company has since rebounded, with analysts eyeing robust data center demand and new chip designs for China.
Despite these challenges, Nvidia's pivot to U.S. AI infrastructure investments and new chip designs signals resilience. The company's $37.6 billion cash reserve and investments in U.S. AI infrastructure bolster its supply chains. Additionally, Nvidia has projected fiscal second-quarter revenue of $45 billion, plus or minus 2%, reflecting an estimated $8 billion loss in H20 revenue due to recent export control limitations [1].
Investors should also consider the technical indicators provided by Fiserv's 15-minute chart. Two recent technical indicators, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) and the KDJ (Stochastic Oscillator), have crossed over in a bearish manner at 09:45 on August 22, 2025. This crossover is a bearish signal, suggesting that the stock price has the potential to continue falling [2]. Furthermore, the momentum of the stock price is shifting towards the downside, which increases the likelihood of further decreases in the stock's value.
Analysts have mixed sentiments towards Nvidia's stock. Of 65 analysts who cover the stock, 58 recommend buying shares, with 11 of them with Strong Buy ratings. Their consensus one-year price target has risen to $187.52, signaling almost 7% upside potential from its current price. However, valuation concerns linger, and investors should use caution [1].
24/7 Wall St.'s year-end price target for Nvidia is a cautious $176.64 per share, implying less than 1% upside from the current price per share. This estimate accounts for tariff risks, competition from DeepSeek, and potential Blackwell supply constraints. It also reflects Nvidia's AI dominance and second-quarter 2026 revenue guidance [1].
In conclusion, Nvidia's stock price has shown significant volatility due to geopolitical uncertainties and mixed earnings. However, the company's investments in U.S. AI infrastructure and new chip designs signal resilience. Investors should monitor the stock closely, especially with the bearish signals from the technical indicators.
References:
[1] https://247wallst.com/investing/2025/08/20/nvidia-nasdaq-nvda-stock-price-prediction-for-2025-where-will-it-be-in-1-year/
[2] https://www.ainvest.com/news/magnite-15-min-chart-sees-macd-death-cross-kdj-death-cross-2508/
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