Firefly Aerospace's 15min chart triggers MACD Death Cross, Bollinger Bands Narrowing

The 15-minute chart for Firefly Aerospace has recently exhibited a MACD Death Cross and Bollinger Bands Narrowing pattern at 10/08/2025 14:15. This suggests that there is a heightened potential for the stock price to decline further, with a concomitant decrease in the magnitude of price fluctuations.

Firefly Aerospace (NASDAQ: FLY) has recently experienced a notable shift in its stock price dynamics, as indicated by a MACD Death Cross and Bollinger Bands Narrowing pattern observed on October 8, 2025, at 14:15. These technical indicators suggest a heightened potential for further stock price decline, accompanied by a reduction in price volatility Post SciTech acquisition, is Firefly Aerospace still a buy?^[1].

The company's stock performance comes amidst a strategic acquisition of SciTec, a move that analysts believe strengthens Firefly's software and services capabilities. Roth Capital Markets analyst Suji Desilva maintained a "Buy" rating with a US$40.00 target price, noting that the acquisition positions Firefly for future U.S. national security opportunities Post SciTech acquisition, is Firefly Aerospace still a buy?^[1].

The acquisition, valued at US$855 million, includes a US$300 million cash component funded through Firefly's cash balance and revolver. The remaining consideration is in equity priced at US$50 per share, representing an 83% premium to the prior close. SciTec's recent revenue of US$164 million and a US$259 million award for early-2025 projects highlight the potential for enhanced revenue and gross margin profiles for Firefly Post SciTech acquisition, is Firefly Aerospace still a buy?^[1].

However, technical indicators and recent market trends indicate a cautious stance. The MACD Death Cross signals a potential bearish trend, while the narrowing of Bollinger Bands suggests a decrease in price fluctuations. These factors, combined with the ongoing test stand anomaly and its impact on upcoming Alpha launches, create market uncertainty for investors Post SciTech acquisition, is Firefly Aerospace still a buy?^[1].

Investors should closely monitor the developments surrounding Firefly's acquisition and technical challenges. Desilva's plan to update his model once the deal closes and his watch for updates on the test stand anomaly suggest a cautious approach to the stock's valuation.

In conclusion, while the acquisition of SciTec presents strategic opportunities for Firefly, the current technical indicators and market conditions warrant a cautious investment stance. Investors should remain vigilant and consider the potential risks associated with the company's ongoing technical issues.