FICO's $640M Trading Volume Surges 152% but Ranks 183rd Amid AI-Driven Credit Scoring Challenge

Generated by AI AgentAinvest Market Brief
Wednesday, Aug 13, 2025 8:56 pm ET1min read
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Aime RobotAime Summary

- Fair (FICO) shares rose 1.26% on August 13, 2025, with trading volume surging 152.87% to $640M, though ranked 183rd in market activity.

- Analysts noted FICO's 51.62 P/E ratio and 31.72% year-to-date revenue growth, despite rising short interest (8.07%) and valuation concerns.

- Upstart Holdings' AI-driven credit model, using 90M data points, challenges FICO's legacy scoring system while maintaining low default risks.

- A high-volume stock strategy (2022-2025) showed 6.98% annualized returns but faced 15.46% maximum drawdown in mid-2023, highlighting volatility risks.

On August 13, 2025, Fair (FICO) closed with a 1.26% gain, trading at $1,333.62. The stock saw a 152.87% surge in trading volume to $0.64 billion, ranking 183rd in market activity. Analysts highlighted its elevated P/E ratio of 51.62, reflecting investor confidence despite valuation concerns. Recent earnings reports showed improved performance, with revenue up 31.72% year-to-date, though short interest rose 8.07%, signaling mixed sentiment.

Competition in credit scoring intensified as UpstartUPST-- Holdings leveraged AI to challenge FICO’s decades-old FICOFICO-- score model. Upstart’s data-driven approach, trained on 90 million data points, identified loan opportunities overlooked by FICO without increasing default risks. This innovation could pressure FICO to modernize its offerings, though its 33.9% profit margin remains robust. Analysts noted FICO’s strong balance sheet, with operating cash flow covering debt obligations and a shrinking debt-to-equity ratio.

The backtested strategy of buying top 500 high-volume stocks and holding for one day (2022–2025) showed a 6.98% annualized return. However, a 15.46% maximum drawdown in mid-2023 underscored volatility risks, emphasizing the need for disciplined risk management in high-turnover strategies.

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