FF +81.26% Daily Rally Amid Broader Downtrend

On OCT 5 2025, FF rose by 81.26% within 24 hours to reach $0.00015973, while the token had declined by 1650.54% over seven days, 1650.54% in one month, and a staggering 4248.2% over one year. The recent daily surge appears to be an anomaly in an otherwise bearish trend, with no immediate catalysts reported to explain the sharp increase.

FF has struggled with persistent downward momentum across multiple timeframes, with the 24-hour rally not signaling a broader reversal. Analysts project continued volatility and uncertainty for the asset class, especially given the absence of fundamental or regulatory developments that could substantiate a sustained recovery. The one-day spike has sparked limited attention in technical analysis circles, where traders are closely watching whether the move is a short-term anomaly or a potential base for a larger upward correction.

Technical indicators remain bearish, with FF failing to break above key resistance levels and remaining well below its 200-day moving average. While the daily jump is significant, it has yet to trigger a broader reevaluation of the asset’s technical structure. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) both remain in negative territory, suggesting that the recent rally is unlikely to reverse the dominant downtrend without strong follow-through volume and price action.

Backtest Hypothesis

Given the current market conditions and historical volatility, a backtest strategy is being proposed to evaluate potential entry and exit points for FF. The strategy is based on a combination of RSI and MACD signals, aiming to capture short-term rebounds during periods of overextended bearish momentum. The approach involves entering long positions when RSI dips below 30 and MACD crosses above the signal line, with stop-loss placed below the most recent support level. Exit points are determined when RSI rises above 70 or when MACD crosses below the signal line. The hypothesis is that such a strategy could capture short-term bounces without exposing the portfolio to the full downside of the broader trend.