Ferrari's Bull Run Accelerates Toward 52-Week High as Earnings and F1 Upgrades Ignite Optimism

• Ferrari (RACE) surges 3.21% to $502.75, nearing its 52-week peak of $509.13
• Zacks Rank #1 upgrade highlights four consecutive earnings beats with 10.78% average surprise
• Formula 1 upgrades poised to close gap to McLaren, per driver Leclerc's remarks
• Intraday range spans $492.67–$503.10 amid high volatility

Ferrari’s breakout session blends technical momentum with strategic catalysts, setting the stage for a pivotal earnings report and F1 performance review. The stock’s proximity to all-time highs underscores investor confidence in its luxury sports car dominance and technical revival plans.

Earnings Momentum and F1 Upgrades Drive Rally
Ferrari’s surge stems from two core catalysts: Zacks’ upgraded valuation metrics and Formula 1 performance improvements. The company’s four consecutive earnings beats, averaging 10.78% surprise, signal robust revenue growth (projected $8.2B in 2025) and margin resilience. Meanwhile, Ferrari’s upcoming rear suspension upgrade—tested by Hamilton and Leclerc—aims to close the 0.4-second deficit to McLaren, per driver comments. This technical revival, paired with a Zacks Rank #1 ‘Strong Buy’ upgrade, has reignited investor enthusiasm for its premium automotive and motorsport narratives.

Automobile Sector Mixed Amid EV Shifts, Ferrari Outshines Peers
While the Automobile sector faces EV adoption headwinds (evident in Tesla’s 3.24% rise versus broader sector volatility), Ferrari’s luxury niche and F1 ties insulate it from mainstream competition. Maserati’s 2026 supercar teasers and Porsche’s Panamera electrification highlight sector fragmentation, but Ferrari’s 3.21% gain outpaces peers like GM (-0.5%) and Ford (-1.2%). Its focus on high-margin combustion engines and motorsport credibility positions it uniquely amid macroeconomic uncertainty.

Bullish Technicals and Options to Capture Ferrari’s Upside
• RSI: 64.6 (neutral, no overbought/sold signals)
• Bollinger Bands: Near upper band ($506.76) signaling short-term overextension
• MACD: Bullish crossover (4.27 vs 3.83), confirming uptrend momentum
• 200-day MA: $457.30 (well below current price, bullish long-term bias)

Aggressive bulls can target the RACE20250815C510 call option (strike $510, expiring August 15). With a delta of 0.459 and gamma of 0.010, it offers 38.29% leverage to price swings. A 5% upside to $527.89 would yield a $17.89 payoff (vs current price of ~$10.35), while theta (-0.52) warns of time decay risk. Alternatively, traders could establish a bullish spread using this call paired with a $515 strike to cap downside.

Holding through Ferrari’s earnings (end of July) is critical. Break above $509.13 could trigger a sprint to $520. Monitor $490.16 (30-day support) as a stop-loss anchor. Action: Buy RACE20250815C510 calls if $503 holds; exit if earnings miss or F1 upgrades underdeliver.

Backtest Ferrari Stock Performance
The backtest of a 3% intraday surge on the RACE (Rapid Action Cognition and Execution) strategy shows no impact on the entire market, with the maximum return being 1.02% on a single day. This suggests that the surge does not consistently lead to significant market gains.

Ferrari’s Momentum Faces Crucible at Earnings and F1 Track
Ferrari’s current rally hinges on two near-term tests: its July earnings report and F1 performance post-upgrades. With Tesla (TSLA) pacing the sector at +3.24%, investors will scrutinize Ferrari’s revenue growth and margin retention amid a resilient luxury market. Technicals favor bulls above $500, but a breakdown below $490 risks a retreat. Focus on post-earnings sentiment and Leclerc/Russell’s race results to gauge sustainability. Final Insight: Fade the rally if F1 results stagnate or margins weaken in Q3 guidance.