Fed's Repo Backstop Falters: Barclays Sounds Alarm on Market Turmoil
Tuesday, Nov 19, 2024 3:26 pm ET
4min read The Federal Reserve's (Fed) repo backstop, designed to dampen upward pressures in repo markets, has struggled to contain recent turmoil, according to a recent report by Barclays. The repo rate surge on Monday, September 19, 2022, indicated heightened funding pressure, with the DTCC GCF Treasury Repo Index rising to 5.221%, 32 bps above the interest on reserve balances (IORB). Despite the Fed's Standing Repo Facility (SRF) lending $2.6 billion on Monday, it was insufficient to prevent repo market turmoil. Factors contributing to the backstop's ineffectiveness include banks' reduced liquidity and increased demand for cash, exacerbated by quarter-end reporting and tax deadlines.
The Fed's balance sheet reduction and changes in reserve management have also contributed to repo market pressures. From October 2017, the Fed began unwinding its balance sheet, taking a major buyer of Treasuries out of the market. This increased demand for government debt, as banks and other investors stepped in, reducing their cash reserves and available for overnight lending. Additionally, the Fed's shift to an 'ample reserves regime' in 2019, where it relied on administered rates and facilities to control short-term interest rates, reduced its active management of reserve supply. This lack of reserve management exacerbated repo market pressures, as seen in the September 2019 cash crunch.
The repo market's structural changes, particularly the increased participation of non-bank financial institutions, have also contributed to the turmoil. Non-bank entities, such as money market funds and government-sponsored enterprises, have become significant players in the repo market, accounting for over 40% of total repo trading volume (Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York). Their increased presence has led to a more diverse range of counterparties, potentially introducing new dynamics and risks. Additionally, non-bank entities may have different funding needs and behaviors, which could exacerbate market pressures during periods of stress.
The repo market turmoil of 2019 highlighted the limitations of the Fed's key backstop facilities, such as the Standing Repo Facility (SRF) and the Overnight Reverse Repo Facility (ON RRP), in containing market pressures (Source 1, 2, 3). Despite these facilities, repo rates surged, indicating a lack of effective control over short-term funding costs. The Fed's reliance on administered rates and ample reserves regime may not be sufficient to manage market dynamics, especially during periods of high demand for cash (Source 5). To enhance future monetary policy implementation and market management, the Fed should consider expanding its toolkit, potentially including more active management of reserve supply and broader access to backstop facilities. Additionally, the Fed should remain vigilant in monitoring market conditions and be prepared to adjust its policies as needed to maintain financial stability.
In conclusion, the repo market turmoil underscores the need for the Fed to reassess its backstop facilities and consider additional measures to effectively manage market pressures. As the repo market evolves with increased participation from non-bank entities, the Fed must adapt its policies to ensure financial stability and maintain control over short-term funding costs. By doing so, the Fed can help prevent future market turmoil and promote a more resilient financial system.
The Fed's balance sheet reduction and changes in reserve management have also contributed to repo market pressures. From October 2017, the Fed began unwinding its balance sheet, taking a major buyer of Treasuries out of the market. This increased demand for government debt, as banks and other investors stepped in, reducing their cash reserves and available for overnight lending. Additionally, the Fed's shift to an 'ample reserves regime' in 2019, where it relied on administered rates and facilities to control short-term interest rates, reduced its active management of reserve supply. This lack of reserve management exacerbated repo market pressures, as seen in the September 2019 cash crunch.
SLN, MBLY, APLD, SYM, BTDR...Turnover Rate, Trading Volume
The repo market's structural changes, particularly the increased participation of non-bank financial institutions, have also contributed to the turmoil. Non-bank entities, such as money market funds and government-sponsored enterprises, have become significant players in the repo market, accounting for over 40% of total repo trading volume (Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York). Their increased presence has led to a more diverse range of counterparties, potentially introducing new dynamics and risks. Additionally, non-bank entities may have different funding needs and behaviors, which could exacerbate market pressures during periods of stress.
The repo market turmoil of 2019 highlighted the limitations of the Fed's key backstop facilities, such as the Standing Repo Facility (SRF) and the Overnight Reverse Repo Facility (ON RRP), in containing market pressures (Source 1, 2, 3). Despite these facilities, repo rates surged, indicating a lack of effective control over short-term funding costs. The Fed's reliance on administered rates and ample reserves regime may not be sufficient to manage market dynamics, especially during periods of high demand for cash (Source 5). To enhance future monetary policy implementation and market management, the Fed should consider expanding its toolkit, potentially including more active management of reserve supply and broader access to backstop facilities. Additionally, the Fed should remain vigilant in monitoring market conditions and be prepared to adjust its policies as needed to maintain financial stability.
In conclusion, the repo market turmoil underscores the need for the Fed to reassess its backstop facilities and consider additional measures to effectively manage market pressures. As the repo market evolves with increased participation from non-bank entities, the Fed must adapt its policies to ensure financial stability and maintain control over short-term funding costs. By doing so, the Fed can help prevent future market turmoil and promote a more resilient financial system.
