icon
icon
icon
icon
Upgrade
Upgrade

News /

Articles /

Fed's Preferred Inflation Gauge Falls More Than Expected: Markets Breathe Sigh Of Relief

Wesley ParkFriday, Dec 20, 2024 8:50 am ET
4min read


The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, fell more than expected in recent data releases. This news has sparked relief in markets, as it suggests a potential slowdown in the Fed's aggressive rate hikes. The PCE index, which measures the change in prices of goods and services purchased by consumers, is a closely watched indicator of inflation trends. A decline in the PCE index can alleviate investor concerns about rising interest rates and potential economic slowdowns, leading to increased risk appetite and a shift towards growth stocks.

The Fed's preferred inflation gauge, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, fell more than expected, indicating a slowdown in inflation. This news has markets breathing a sigh of relief, as it suggests the Fed may ease off its aggressive rate hikes. However, investors should remain cautious, as the PCE index is still above the Fed's 2% target. A sustained slowdown in inflation could lead to a decrease in market volatility and an increase in risk appetite, as investors become more confident in the economy's stability. However, if inflation remains elevated, markets may continue to experience volatility, and risk appetite may remain subdued.

Investors and market participants reacted with relief to the Fed's preferred inflation gauge falling more than expected, as it suggests a potential slowdown in interest rate hikes. This news could lead to a shift in investment strategies, with some investors moving back into tech stocks that were previously abandoned due to rising interest rates. However, the author advises against selling best-of-breed companies like Amazon and Apple, as they are built to last and have strong management. The author is optimistic about energy stocks due to being under-owned and suggests a balanced portfolio with growth and value stocks. The author expresses concern about Facebook's need to address advertiser worries and content issues to remain a best-of-breed company. The author believes in the potential of Amazon and Apple to overcome current challenges and regards them as good investment opportunities when their stock prices dip.

The Fed's preferred inflation gauge, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, fell more than expected, indicating a slowdown in inflation. This news may prompt the Fed to adjust its interest rate policy, potentially pausing or slowing down the pace of rate hikes. The Fed has been raising interest rates to combat inflation, and a slower pace could provide relief to markets. However, the Fed may still maintain a cautious approach, as it monitors inflation trends and economic indicators.

The Fed's preferred inflation gauge, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, falling more than expected has sparked relief in markets. This development may influence the Fed's communication strategy, potentially signaling a slower pace of rate hikes or even a pause in tightening. However, the Fed has emphasized its commitment to fighting inflation, so markets should remain vigilant for any shifts in policy.




In conclusion, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, falling more than expected has markets breathing a sigh of relief. This news could lead to a shift in investment strategies, with some investors moving back into tech stocks. However, investors should remain cautious and maintain a balanced portfolio with both growth and value stocks. The Fed may adjust its interest rate policy in response to the unexpected drop in inflation, potentially pausing or slowing down the pace of rate hikes. The impact on the bond market and other asset classes remains uncertain, but the decline in inflation could boost safe-haven assets like bonds and utilities. The Fed's communication strategy may also be influenced by this development, potentially signaling a slower pace of rate hikes or even a pause in tightening. Markets should remain vigilant for any shifts in policy as the Fed continues to monitor inflation trends and economic indicators.
Disclaimer: the above is a summary showing certain market information. AInvest is not responsible for any data errors, omissions or other information that may be displayed incorrectly as the data is derived from a third party source. Communications displaying market prices, data and other information available in this post are meant for informational purposes only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security. Please do your own research when investing. All investments involve risk and the past performance of a security, or financial product does not guarantee future results or returns. Keep in mind that while diversification may help spread risk, it does not assure a profit, or protect against loss in a down market.