Fair Isaac Rises 3.76% As Technicals Signal Potential Rebound From Key Support

Technical Analysis of Fair Isaac (FICO)
Fair Isaac (FICO) closed at $1,393.61 on August 6, 2025, rising 3.76% in the most recent session. This analysis examines key technical indicators to assess the stock’s momentum, trend strength, and potential reversal zones.
Candlestick Theory
Recent price action shows a potential bullish reversal pattern. The August 6 candle closed near its high ($1,393.61 vs. high of $1,393.63) after a three-day decline, forming a "hammer" precursor. This follows a volatile downtrend from the July peak of $2,199.92, with significant resistance at $1,500–$1,530 (February–March 2025 consolidation zone) and support near $1,336 (recent double-bottom low on August 5 and 6). A close above $1,530 would confirm bullish momentum, while failure to hold $1,336 may signal a retest of $1,200.
Moving Average Theory
The 50-day and 100-day moving averages (MAs) exhibit a death cross, reflecting intermediate bearish pressure. However, the 200-day MA ($1,745) slopes upward, indicating the primary uptrend remains intact. The current price trades below all three key MAs (50-day: $1,548; 100-day: $1,672), highlighting persistent selling pressure. A reversal would require sustained closes above the 50-day MA to neutralize near-term bearishness.
MACD & KDJ Indicators
MACD shows bearish momentum but potential easing: the MACD line (–48) remains below its signal line but is decelerating its descent. KDJ signals oversold conditions (K: 28, D: 22, J: 40), with the %K line rebounding from the August 5 trough. Bullish divergence appears as price stabilized near $1,336 while KDJ turned upward. This hints at short-term recovery potential, though MACD’s negative territory warrants caution.
Bollinger Bands
Volatility expansion occurred during the July–August sell-off, with price breaching the lower band repeatedly. Recent sessions show bands contracting slightly as price consolidates between $1,336 (lower band support) and $1,450 (middle band resistance). A compression phase suggests impending directional momentum; a close above $1,450 may trigger a reversal toward the upper band ($1,560).
Volume-Price Relationship
Volume spikes accompanied downside breaks (e.g., July 8: 1.37M shares traded during an 8.91% decline), validating sell-offs. The August 6 rally saw moderate volume (368K), lacking conviction compared to July’s high-volume capitulation. Sustained recovery requires volume expansion above the 500K-share threshold to confirm accumulation.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The 14-day RSI (34) rebounded from oversold territory (<30 on August 5), aligning with the price bounce. However, it remains below the neutral 50 level, reflecting unfinished bearish momentum. A sustained rise above 50 would signal strengthening bullish traction. The current reading avoids extreme oversold conditions but lacks robust reversal confirmation.
Fibonacci Retracement
Using the trough-to-peak rally from $1,688.41 (November 2024) to $2,199.92 (May 2025):
- 38.2% retracement ($1,780) failed as support in June.
- 61.8% level ($1,543) now acts as resistance.
- The 78.6% extension ($1,367) aligns with recent support at $1,336.
Convergence between Fibonacci support and the double-bottom pattern at $1,336–$1,367 suggests a critical technical floor.
Concluding Observations
Confluence exists at the $1,336–$1,367 support zone, reinforced by Fibonacci, candlestick patterns, and oversold KDJ/RSI readings. Divergence is noted in momentum (bearish MACD vs. improving KDJ) and volume (recent gains lack robust participation). Probabilistically, the setup favors a technical bounce toward $1,450–$1,530. However, failure to reclaim the 50-day MA would maintain bearish control for a retest of $1,200. Investors should monitor volume expansion and MA crossovers for trend-confirmation signals.