icon
icon
icon
icon
Upgrade
Upgrade

News /

Articles /

Everest Navigates Catastrophic Headwinds in Q1 2025 Amid Strategic Shifts

Victor HaleThursday, May 1, 2025 2:33 am ET
6min read

Everest Group, Ltd. reported its first-quarter 2025 financial results, revealing a challenging start to the year marked by historic catastrophe losses that overshadowed underlying improvements in underwriting discipline and strategic initiatives. While net income fell sharply year-over-year, the insurer’s focus on high-return specialty lines and attritional performance efficiency offers a glimpse of resilience in an environment increasingly prone to extreme weather events.

Financial Highlights: Catastrophe Drag vs. Operational Grit

Everest’s Q1 net income dropped to $210 million ($4.90 per share) from $733 million ($16.87 per share) in 2024, driven by $571 million in pre-tax catastrophe losses, the highest for a first quarter in over a decade. These losses, primarily from California wildfires, inflated the Group’s combined ratio to 102.7%, well above the breakeven point of 100%. However, stripping out catastrophes and non-operational items, the attritional combined ratio improved to 90.2%, down from 93.9% in Q1 2024, signaling tighter underwriting controls.

The Reinsurance segment bore the brunt of catastrophe volatility, with its combined ratio spiking to 103.3% due to wildfire-related losses of $461 million. Meanwhile, the Insurance segment’s combined ratio widened to 100.5%, driven by both catastrophes and higher attritional loss ratios in casualty and professional liability lines.

Segment Performance: Growth in Specialty, Challenges in Casualty

Despite overall gross written premium (GWP) declining 2.0% year-over-year ($4.4 billion), Everest’s strategic pivot to specialty and property lines is paying dividends. The Reinsurance segment saw 11.5% growth in Property Pro-Rata and 7.9% expansion in Property Catastrophe XOL, offsetting steep declines in casualty lines. The Insurance segment, however, faced headwinds in Casualty (-16.6%) and Workers’ Compensation (-19.8%), though gains in Property/Short Tail (+19.0%) and Other Specialty (+16.1%) provided a counterbalance.

The attritional underwriting metrics tell a compelling story:
- Reinsurance attritional loss ratio: 59.8% (vs. 62.5% in 2024)
- Insurance attritional loss ratio: 68.8% (vs. 70.6% in 2024)

These improvements suggest Everest’s remediation efforts—such as tightening casualty underwriting and reducing exposure to volatile lines—are bearing fruit.

Capital Position and Shareholder Returns

Everest’s balance sheet remains robust, with $42.6 billion in invested assets and $14.1 billion in shareholders’ equity. While unrealized losses on securities trimmed book value to $332.39 per share, the adjusted book value (excluding unrealized gains/losses) rose to $345.57. The company returned $285 million to shareholders via $200 million in buybacks and an $85 million dividend, maintaining its commitment to capital discipline.

CEO Jim Williamson emphasized that while Q1 was “operationally challenging,” Everest’s strategic plan remains intact. The 2025 priorities—casualty remediation, capital allocation to high-return specialty lines, and reinsurance pricing momentum—are progressing, with reinsurance renewals already reflecting improved terms.

Risks and Forward-Looking Considerations

Everest faces significant tailwinds, including:
1. Catastrophe exposure: The California wildfires alone cost $442 million, underscoring the unpredictability of extreme weather.
2. Casualty line recovery: Shrinking GWP in casualty reflects deliberate risk reduction, but pricing must stabilize to offset volume declines.
3. Economic softening: Slower global growth could pressure underwriting margins further.

Conclusion: A Hold with Long-Term Upside Potential

Everest’s Q1 results are a reminder that insurers operate in a world where short-term volatility can mask long-term strategy execution. While the $571 million in catastrophe losses skewed metrics, the improved attritional performance and disciplined underwriting suggest management is on track to meet its 2025 strategic return targets.

Investors should note:
- Valuation: At current levels, Everest’s price-to-book ratio of 1.2x (adjusted for unrealized gains) appears reasonable for an insurer with improving underwriting fundamentals.
- Growth catalysts: Specialty lines and reinsurance pricing momentum could drive GWP expansion in the latter half of 2025.
- Risk management: The 13.9-point catastrophe drag in Q1 is a one-off, but climate-related risks demand close monitoring.

If Everest can sustain attritional underwriting efficiency (mid-90% combined ratios ex-catastrophes) and leverage its capital to grow in high-return niches, this quarter’s turbulence may prove a temporary setback. For now, Everest remains a hold, with a favorable risk-reward profile for investors willing to overlook short-term volatility for long-term underwriting discipline.

Data Note: Everest’s stock performance and comparative metrics can be analyzed via platforms like Bloomberg or Yahoo Finance using ticker symbols for peer insurers (e.g., AIG, Chubb) for benchmarking.

Disclaimer: the above is a summary showing certain market information. AInvest is not responsible for any data errors, omissions or other information that may be displayed incorrectly as the data is derived from a third party source. Communications displaying market prices, data and other information available in this post are meant for informational purposes only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security. Please do your own research when investing. All investments involve risk and the past performance of a security, or financial product does not guarantee future results or returns. Keep in mind that while diversification may help spread risk, it does not assure a profit, or protect against loss in a down market.