Everest Group Outlook - Weak Technicals and Mixed Analyst Signals
Market Snapshot
Everest Group (EG) is underperforming with a recent price drop of -3.36%, while technical indicators remain bearish, signaling caution for potential investors. The stock has an internal diagnostic technical score of 3.51, indicating a weak technical setup.
News Highlights
Recent news items suggest a mixed outlook for Everest GroupEG-- and the broader insurance sector. Here are the key stories:
- May 16, 2025: Zacks Industry Outlook highlights Everest Group among firms likely to benefit from growing demand for protection products. However, moderating pricing trends are a concern. This could provide some long-term optimism but doesn’t address current volatility.
- May 30, 2025: Fidelis InsuranceFIHL-- closes a $90 million catastrophe bond, indicating ongoing activity in the insurance reinsurance space. This could indirectly influence Everest Group's market perception, especially if similar deals follow.
- May 30, 2025: American CoastalACIC-- Insurance boosts its reinsurance program, suggesting increased risk management in the sector. This might reflect a broader industry shift, potentially influencing Everest Group’s strategic decisions in the near future.
Analyst Views & Fundamentals
Everest Group is currently facing a lack of analyst optimism. Tracy Benguigui of Wolfe Research has issued a “Sell” rating, and with a historical win rate of 0.0%, the credibility of this call is questionable but still influential in the short term.
- Average Rating Score (Simple Mean): 2.00
- Weighted Rating Score (Performance-Weighted): 0.00
- Rating Consistency: Dispersed — with only one active analyst, the dispersion of views isn’t a major issue, but the low rating is concerning.
- Price Trend Alignment: The recent price drop aligns with the bearish analyst expectations.
On the fundamentals, Everest Group has a 4.2 internal diagnostic score, suggesting mixed performance. Key fundamentals include:
- Operating Revenue (YoY growth rate): 421.39% (Score: 3)
- ROE: 4.53% (Score: 1)
- ROA: 1.12% (Score: 1)
- Net Profit Margin (NPM): 15.14% (Score: 3)
- Diluted Earnings Per Share (YoY growth rate): -37.65% (Score: 1)
- Cash-to-Market Value (Cash-MV): 1.29 (Score: 4)
The company’s revenue is growing rapidly, but profitability metrics are underperforming. Investors should be cautious about the divergence between top-line and bottom-line growth.
Money-Flow Trends
Everest Group has attracted positive money flows across all sizes of investors. Big-money inflow ratio is at 53.28% and overall inflow ratio stands at 52.93%, indicating strong institutional or large investor interest.
- Large investor inflow ratio: 53.28%
- Extra-large investor inflow ratio: 52.88%
- Small investor inflow ratio: 51.90%
While big money is flowing in, the technical weakness and bearish analyst sentiment may limit upside potential in the near term.
Key Technical Signals
Technically, Everest Group is in a weak position with three bearish indicators and no bullish ones. The internal diagnostic score is 3.51, and the overall trend is bearish.
- Williams %R Overbought: Internal diagnostic score: 2.6 — indicates neutral rise potential but historically underperforms.
- Williams %R Oversold: Score: 3.34 — shows some potential for price bounce, but not a strong signal.
- MACD Golden Cross: Score: 1.44 — bearish bias; historically has led to price declines.
- MACD Death Cross: Score: 6.67 — bullish bias, but rare and not recently impactful.
Recent chart patterns:
- Sep 12, 2025: WilliamsWMB-- %R Overbought
- Sep 11, 2025: Williams %R Overbought and MACD Golden Cross
- Sep 16, 2025: Williams %R Oversold
- Sep 15, 2025: MACD Death Cross
- Sep 8, 2025: MACD Death Cross
The mixed signals suggest a volatile and unclear trend with bearish momentum dominating.
Conclusion
Everest Group is in a technical and analyst bearish zone, with an internal diagnostic technical score of 3.51 and a simple average analyst rating of 2.00. While big money is flowing in, fundamentals are mixed and short-term sentiment is weak. Investors should consider waiting for a clearer trend or pull-back before considering entry. Monitoring upcoming earnings and industry trends could provide more clarity on Everest Group’s direction.
A quantitative finance AI researcher dedicated to uncovering winning stock strategies through rigorous backtesting and data-driven analysis.
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