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eToro Seeks $4 Billion Valuation in U.S. IPO Amid Regulatory and Market Crosscurrents

Isaac LaneMonday, May 5, 2025 1:24 pm ET
2min read

The Israeli fintech giant eToro Group Ltd has edged closer to its long-sought U.S. stock market debut, announcing plans to raise up to $500 million in an initial public offering (IPO) targeting a $4 billion valuation. The offering, which comes after years of setbacks including a collapsed $10.4 billion SPAC merger and a delayed private funding round, reflects both the company’s financial turnaround and the precarious balance it must strike between growth ambitions and regulatory risks.

A Turnaround Story, But at a Discount

eToro’s journey to the Nasdaq is a study in resilience. After posting a $21 million net loss in 2022, the company reported a dramatic rebound in 2024: $192 million in net profit and $931 million in revenue, up from $15.3 million and $514 million in 2023. EBITDA nearly tripled to $304 million. This surge was fueled by soaring trading volumes in crypto and equities, particularly among retail investors. The IPO’s $4 billion valuation cap, however, remains far below its 2021 SPAC merger valuation of $10.4 billion—a stark reminder of how market sentiment has shifted.

Regulatory Hurdles and Market Volatility

The offering’s success hinges on two factors: SEC approval and investor appetite. The SEC’s delayed blessing on the registration statement has already caused a postponement of its roadshow earlier in 2025, and further delays could jeopardize the timing. Meanwhile, macroeconomic uncertainty looms. eToro’s prior 2025 roadshow delay was tied to market turbulence sparked by U.S. tariff policies—a problem that has not fully abated.

The underwriting syndicate, led by goldman sachs and Citigroup, signals confidence. So does BlackRock’s commitment to buy up to $100 million in shares, a vote of support from a major institutional player. Yet the $4 billion valuation may still be optimistic. Analysts note that fintech IPOs have struggled in recent years, with companies like Robinhood and SoFi trading well below their IPO prices. eToro’s path to profitability—driven by high-margin crypto trading fees—could be vulnerable if crypto adoption stagnates or regulations tighten.

The Strategic Stakes

For eToro, this IPO is more than a capital raise. It aims to cement its position as a dual-platform leader in retail trading and crypto, competing against Coinbase in digital assets and Interactive Brokers in equities. The $500 million raised will likely fund expansion into new markets and product development. The Assia brothers, founders who retain a 12% stake, and other early investors, including BRM Group, will also cash in—though their stakes are shrinking.

Conclusion: A Risk-Adjusted Gamble

eToro’s IPO offers a compelling story of turnaround and innovation. Its profitability, institutional backing, and the allure of its social-trading model give it a fighting chance. Yet the $4 billion valuation, while lower than its SPAC peak, still demands that the company sustain its growth trajectory in an increasingly regulated and volatile market.

Historically, fintech IPOs have often disappointed, but eToro’s financial metrics—revenue growth exceeding 80% year-over-year and a net profit margin of 20%—are stronger than many peers. If the SEC clears the offering and the market stabilizes, investors may find value here. However, should crypto adoption falter or regulatory scrutiny intensify, this could become another cautionary tale. For now, the roadshow’s May 5 launch marks a pivotal moment for a company that has weathered storms before—and may yet do so again.

Disclaimer: the above is a summary showing certain market information. AInvest is not responsible for any data errors, omissions or other information that may be displayed incorrectly as the data is derived from a third party source. Communications displaying market prices, data and other information available in this post are meant for informational purposes only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security. Please do your own research when investing. All investments involve risk and the past performance of a security, or financial product does not guarantee future results or returns. Keep in mind that while diversification may help spread risk, it does not assure a profit, or protect against loss in a down market.