Ethereum Surges 28% Since May, Faces Key Resistance at $2,700

Ethereum (ETH) has experienced a significant rally since early May, surging from below $2,100 to consolidate just under the $2,700 mark. This level has acted as a psychological barrier after ETH hit a high of $2,722, triggering slight intraday rejection. The recent price spikes have brought ETH back into a longer-term descending resistance zone, making this a critical area for trend validation heading into May 15.

The daily and weekly charts indicate that Ethereum is reclaiming bullish control after breaking out of a multi-month falling wedge pattern. On the daily chart, ETH is currently testing a diagonal resistance trendline that stems from the November 2023 highs. This intersects around $2,720–$2,750 — a zone also backed by the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement on the weekly timeframe ($2,745), making it a key pivot area.

Weekly candles show strong follow-through, and Ethereum price action is now back above both the 0.382 and 0.236 Fib levels, suggesting that this recovery is not just a bounce but potentially a trend reversal. However, the upper Bollinger Band on the 4-hour chart at $2,680 has temporarily capped further upside.

On the 30-minute and 4-hour charts, ETH appears to be forming a bull flag — a continuation pattern that often signals a breakout when volume increases. Candles are compressing just under the $2,680–$2,700 zone, with immediate support sitting around $2,610–$2,640. The 20 EMA on the 4H sits near $2,517, offering dynamic support if a short-term dip occurs.

The RSI on the 30-minute chart has cooled to 57.83 from overbought territory above 63 earlier, signaling a possible brief pullback before continuation. Meanwhile, MACD shows a narrowing histogram with a minor bearish crossover — not a strong reversal sign yet, but worth watching. Adding to the short-term uncertainty, Bollinger Bands on the 4-hour timeframe are beginning to contract after last week’s explosive move, indicating that Ethereum price volatility could compress before expanding again.

The question of why Ethereum price is going down today can be answered by short-term resistance near $2,720 and early signs of exhaustion. Recent upside moves were driven by a breakout from the $2,100 range and strong momentum through $2,400 and $2,600. However, the price is now facing horizontal and diagonal resistance from both daily and weekly timeframes — around $2,720 to $2,750.

At the same time, ETH remains strongly above key EMAs: the 50 EMA at $2,319 and the 100 EMA at $2,126. The structure continues to favor the bulls as long as Ethereum holds above $2,610–$2,640. A daily close above $2,750 could clear the path to the next resistance band at $2,843 and even the 0.618 weekly Fib level at $3,080.

Going into May 15, Ethereum appears poised for a breakout if bulls can generate sufficient volume to clear $2,700–$2,745. A clean breakout could push ETH toward $2,843 and potentially $3,000, where weekly resistance clusters reside. On the flip side, a rejection here and loss of $2,610 could bring a retest of $2,517 and $2,480.

Ethereum price update will be highly sensitive to whether this current flag structure breaks upward or downward. Traders should monitor intraday RSI and MACD momentum shifts, along with volume near the $2,700 breakout threshold.