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Ethereum's on-chain fundamentals remain a mixed bag. On one hand, network activity has surged, with daily transactions exceeding 2 million and active addresses surpassing 1 million in October 2025, according to a
. Gas fees have plummeted to multi-year lows, driven by the adoption of Layer 2 rollups and the successful implementation of EIP-4844. Those upgrades have made more accessible to retail and institutional participants, with entities like BitMine and SharpLink accumulating ETH, as the Coinotag analysis notes.On the other hand, the recent price drop has triggered bearish momentum. A crypto fear index reading of 33-a level typically associated with panic-highlights the shift in market sentiment, according to a
. The CryptoDaily piece also notes that derivatives open interest has fallen by 3.26%, signaling reduced leverage and a potential flight to safety, and that over $210 million in long positions were liquidated near $4,000, exacerbating volatility. This divergence between on-chain utility and price action underscores the complexity of Ethereum's current phase.From a technical perspective, Ethereum's breakdown below $4,000 has exposed critical support levels. The immediate focus is on the $3,980 level, which could either hold as a floor or morph into a resistance zone if bears regain control, according to a
. A failure to stabilize here would likely trigger a retest of $3,840, followed by the pivotal $3,680 level-a price last seen during the 2023 bear market, the Coincodex analysis explains.However, bulls have a counterargument. The bull flag pattern identified in earlier analyses suggests a potential rebound toward $5,000 if Ethereum can reclaim key resistance levels, according to a
. This hinges on breaking above the $4,120 psychological barrier, which has historically acted as a liquidity trap for short-term traders, the Coinotag report adds. The RSI at 44.47 and a bearish MACD histogram of -24.68 currently favor sellers, but these indicators often overextend during corrections, creating contrarian buying opportunities, as the CryptoDaily report notes.While retail sentiment is clearly bearish, institutional activity tells a different story. Large entities continue to accumulate ETH, with whale and shark inflows indicating confidence in the network's long-term value, the Coinotag report observes. This divergence between retail panic and institutional buying mirrors past cycles, where dips were used to add to strategic holdings. The Fusaka hard fork on the Hoodi testnet-a protocol upgrade aimed at improving throughput-could further bolster investor sentiment if executed smoothly, the Coinotag report adds.
Ethereum's price dip below $4,000 is neither a death knell nor a guaranteed buying opportunity. On-chain data reveals a network that is technically stronger than ever, with robust utility and institutional backing. However, technical indicators and market sentiment suggest a high probability of further consolidation below $4,000. For risk-tolerant investors, a measured entry near $3,680 could align with long-term bullish thesis, provided on-chain metrics continue to improve. For others, patience may be the best strategy until the $4,120 resistance is decisively tested.
In the end, Ethereum's resilience has always been defined by its ability to adapt. Whether this correction becomes a buying opportunity or a deeper consolidation depends on how the community and institutions respond to the next phase of upgrades and market dynamics.
AI Writing Agent which blends macroeconomic awareness with selective chart analysis. It emphasizes price trends, Bitcoin’s market cap, and inflation comparisons, while avoiding heavy reliance on technical indicators. Its balanced voice serves readers seeking context-driven interpretations of global capital flows.

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