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Ethereum’s price has been trending upward, with recent on-chain data suggesting increased investor confidence and potential for further gains. As of the latest data,
trades at approximately $4,400, having gained 83% year-to-date. Analysts are now drawing attention to a combination of factors, including staking activity, tokenization of real-world assets, and a decline in exchange-held supply, as potential catalysts for a breakout phase.One of the most notable trends is the growing staking activity on Ethereum. As of now, nearly 36 million ETH are staked, representing roughly one-third of the network’s total supply. This reflects increased investor confidence and a growing interest in yield-bearing crypto assets, with staking rewards currently averaging 2.9% annual percentage rate (APR) [1]. The increased staking is also drawing institutional attention, with exchange-traded funds (ETFs) now holding $24 billion in Ether [1]. Some analysts predict that institutional entities could eventually hold up to 10% of the total supply [1].
Meanwhile, Ethereum’s on-chain data is signaling a shift in investor behavior.
, the largest holder of Ethereum among exchanges, has seen a sharp decline in its ETH supply. The Exchange Supply Ratio (ESR), which measures the proportion of ETH held on exchanges relative to the total supply, dropped from 0.041 to below 0.037 in just two weeks [2]. This reduction in exchange-held ETH indicates that investors are increasingly moving their assets into self-custody, a move that historically has been associated with bullish price movements [2]. Notably, Ethereum’s price has remained stable near $4,400 despite this outflow, a sign of strong underlying demand [3].Large Ethereum holders, or "whales," are also accumulating the asset. Santiment data shows that wallets holding between 1,000 and 100,000 ETH increased their holdings by 14% over the past five months [4]. This accumulation began when Ethereum was trading near $1,400–$1,800, indicating long-term positioning by major investors. On-chain analytics platforms have also noted a recent surge in Ethereum accumulation by mega whales and institutional investors. For example, Tom Lee’s Bitmine recently purchased 69,603 ETH, while five newly created wallets acquired 102,455 ETH from FalconX [2].
The tokenization of real-world assets on Ethereum has also gained momentum, with the market reaching $24 billion by mid-2025—an increase from just $5 billion in 2022 [1]. This trend is expected to grow further, with some forecasts suggesting the market could reach $16 trillion over the next five to 15 years [1]. As tokenization gains traction, it could further strengthen Ethereum’s appeal as a platform for institutional and enterprise adoption.
Looking ahead, Ethereum’s technical indicators suggest that the asset is consolidating ahead of a potential breakout. The price has been trading within a range, with key resistance at $4,480 and support at $4,240 [3]. If Ethereum can break through the $4,480 level, it could target $4,600 or even $5,000, depending on broader market conditions and on-chain activity [3]. However, a failure to hold above $4,240 could lead to a deeper correction, potentially testing the $4,050 level.
While the short-term outlook includes some uncertainty due to macroeconomic factors, the long-term fundamentals for Ethereum remain robust. Institutional interest, growing staking yields, tokenization trends, and whale accumulation all point to a strengthening ecosystem. As the network continues to evolve and attract new participants, Ethereum’s trajectory appears increasingly bullish, especially in light of declining exchange liquidity and strong accumulation by key market players.
Source:
[1] Three reasons why Ethereum's price is seen to be heading for ... (https://finance.yahoo.com/news/three-reasons-why-ethereum-price-154336373.html)
[2] Is Ethereum About to Break Out? Binance Supply ... (https://cryptopotato.com/is-ethereum-about-to-break-out-binance-supply-plummets-while-prices-stay-strong/)
[3] Ethereum price may rally amid shrinking Binance supply (https://crypto.news/ethereum-price-binance-exchange-supply-shrinks-2025/)
[4] Ethereum Whales Stacking ETH, Hinting at Further Upside (https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ethereum-whales-stacking-eth-hinting-114954931.html)

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