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The trader who accurately predicted the October 10 cryptocurrency crash has sparked intense debate after closing
long positions with a $1.3 million loss while maintaining a 5x leveraged bet on 40,000 (ETH) tokens, . This move underscores a strategic pivot to Ethereum amid diverging market fundamentals and heightened volatility, with analysts split on whether the decision signals a tactical rebalancing or a risky overreach, the report noted.The trader's Ethereum position, valued at approximately $136 million at current prices, reflects confidence in the altcoin's improving on-chain metrics, including rising staking volumes and developer activity, according to the same report. "Ethereum's technical resilience contrasts with Bitcoin's consolidation, making it a compelling candidate for the next rally," said one analyst, noting that the 5x leverage amplifies both potential gains and downside risks. Institutional interest in Ethereum further bolsters the trader's thesis, with recent on-chain data showing whales accumulating 323,523
($1.12 billion) in two days, .
Market reactions to the trader's move remain polarized. Some observers view the Bitcoin exit as disciplined risk management, acknowledging the challenges of sustaining long positions in a market marked by rapid deleveraging events, as the earlier article described. Others caution that the Ethereum bet could backfire if volatility resurges, particularly given the 5x leverage, which could trigger margin calls during sharp corrections. The broader crypto market has been volatile, with Bitcoin slipping below $100,000 and Ethereum facing pressure near $3,300 support levels,
.Ethereum's recent performance has drawn attention amid mixed signals from fund flows. While spot ETFs for both Bitcoin and Ethereum saw their first inflows of November after weeks of outflows,
, BlackRock's recent $115 million Ethereum sell-off raised concerns about institutional caution, . Meanwhile, on-chain metrics suggest early-stage accumulation, with the Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) dipping below 1.00—a sign of weak-hand exhaustion that historically precedes rebounds, .The trader's strategy aligns with broader market speculation about Ethereum's role in the next crypto cycle. With network upgrades and potential regulatory clarity under the U.S. Genius Act fueling optimism, Ethereum's dominance as the backbone for 60% of stablecoin issuance could drive demand, the BeInCrypto piece suggested. However, the path to recovery remains fraught. Ethereum's supply in profit has contracted by 32%, reducing immediate selling pressure but leaving the asset vulnerable to renewed bearish momentum, according to the FXStreet analysis.
As the crypto market navigates uncertainty, the coming weeks will test the trader's conviction. A rebound in Ethereum could validate the bet, while a breakdown below critical support levels—such as the $3,100–$3,200 zone—might signal deeper trouble, the BeInCrypto report warned. For now, the trader's actions highlight the delicate balance between strategic adaptability and the perils of leverage in one of the most volatile markets globally, the original Coinfomania article observed.
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