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Bitcoin's dominance in the cryptocurrency market has dipped to 60.2% as of October 2025, marking a significant shift in capital allocation toward altcoins and signaling the potential onset of an altcoin season [1]. This decline, the steepest weekly drop in BTC's market share since mid-2024, reflects growing investor interest in
(ETH), (SOL), and other Layer 1 protocols, which have collectively captured 71% of $100 billion in futures trading volume [2]. Ethereum, in particular, has surged 19.45% to $3,800, while Solana has broken above $200 and has rallied 21.4% to $3.52, underscoring a broad-based rotation into high-growth altcoins [3].Technical indicators reinforce this trend.
dominance (BTC.D) has consolidated within a bullish cloud pattern, with analysts projecting a mid-November peak near 61% before a potential pullback. This would create conditions for an altcoin season lasting into mid-December, as capital flows into Ethereum, Solana, and "Others" dominance metrics [1]. Ethereum dominance (ETH.D) and Solana dominance (SOL.D) remain bearish, while the "Others" category has printed three daily bullish close signals, highlighting Bitcoin's waning control over the altcoin market [1]. Meanwhile, the ETH/BTC ratio has risen from 0.018 to 0.031, the highest level since January 2025, as Ethereum outperforms Bitcoin in spot trading volume for the first time in over a year .Institutional adoption is a key driver of this shift. Ethereum ETFs have recorded 15 consecutive days of inflows, while Bitcoin ETFs have seen consistent outflows, reflecting a reallocation of capital toward altcoins . A $175 million institutional investment in Ethereum and the launch of a Solana staking ETF with $100 million in assets under management further underscore growing confidence in altcoins . Regulatory clarity has also played a role, with the U.S. passing the GENIUS Act in July 2025, which provided a framework for stablecoin oversight and spurred liquidity in DeFi and altcoin markets .
Historical patterns suggest a prolonged altcoin rally is emerging. Bitcoin's dominance has declined by 0.8% in recent weeks, mirroring the 2017–2021 cycles where BTC's consolidation allowed altcoins to outperform. During these periods, Ethereum and XRP achieved gains of 1,000% and 384%, respectively [3]. Current conditions align with these precedents, as the Altcoin Season Index has surged to 39-the highest since February 2025-though it remains below the 75 threshold needed to confirm a full-blown altseason [2].
Risks, however, persist. Ethereum's Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 76.88 indicates overbought conditions, raising the possibility of a pullback to $3,500 . Solana's parabolic rally could also face correction if momentum wanes. Regulatory uncertainty, including delays in ETF approvals and potential macroeconomic headwinds from Federal Reserve rate hikes, adds volatility to the market .
Investors are advised to adopt a strategic approach. Buying on dips in Ethereum, Solana, and XRP with stop-loss orders, staking Ethereum for 4–6% annual yields, and diversifying into stablecoins via DeFi platforms are recommended strategies . Monitoring on-chain metrics, such as the ETH/BTC ratio and Bitcoin dominance trends, is critical to navigating the evolving landscape [1].
As Bitcoin stabilizes near $120,000 and institutional capital flows into altcoins, the market appears poised for a sustained shift. If Bitcoin dominance continues its decline and Ethereum maintains its upward trajectory, the broader altcoin market could see returns of 100–300% by mid-2026, driven by regulatory clarity, DeFi expansion, and renewed investor appetite for high-growth assets .
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