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Bitcoin's bull market remains intact as historical October trends suggest a strong continuation of upward momentum. Historical data from the past 15 Octobers reveals a 73% chance of a positive monthly close, with six consecutive positive Octobers averaging a 27% return. Current technical indicators, including a 4-day moving average cross and a bearish 5-day signal, suggest short-term volatility but align with historical Q4 patterns of significant gains. Risks such as a potential U.S. government shutdown could trigger corrections to the $80,000 range, but sustained institutional inflows and ETF demand reinforce long-term bullish sentiment [1].
Ethereum is showing strong signs of a Q4 rally, with its Relative Strength Index (RSI) hitting an oversold level not seen since April 2025. Historical Q4 performance supports this, with
averaging +24% gains in past years, including +104% in Q4 2020 and +142% in Q4 2017. Technical analyses highlight a cup-and-handle breakout pattern, with a potential target of $7,500 by year-end. Institutional Ethereum ETF inflows surged $1.3 billion in the past week, led by BlackRock's $691.7 million accumulation, signaling growing confidence in Ethereum's utility and staking potential [1].
The interplay between
and Ethereum is critical. Bitcoin's dominance has driven capital rotation into altcoins, with Ethereum benefiting from both macroeconomic factors and network upgrades. The Dencun upgrade in May 2025 enhanced scalability, while staking activity hit record levels, with 35.8 million locked up-29.7% of the circulating supply. This institutional-grade infrastructure supports Ethereum's role as both a utility asset and a store of value, mirroring Bitcoin's trajectory while offering unique advantages through DeFi and tokenization .Market dynamics are further bolstered by Ethereum's correlation with gold, which reached 0.7 in Q3 2025. This alignment, driven by ETF inflows and macroeconomic tailwinds, positions Ethereum as a hedge against inflation. Polymarket data reflects 91% odds of ETH closing 2025 at $5,000 or higher, with 50% probability of reaching $6,000 and 30% for $7,000. Community sentiment on platforms like Reddit and Twitter underscores growing optimism, with discussions focusing on Ethereum's technological advancements and institutional adoption .
Despite these positives, risks persist. Regulatory uncertainty and competition from smart contract platforms like
could disrupt momentum. However, Ethereum's first-mover advantage in DeFi and its ongoing network upgrades, including the upcoming Fusaka upgrade, are expected to solidify its leadership. Short-term volatility, including potential corrections to $4,200, is anticipated but viewed as part of a broader bullish cycle .Quickly understand the history and background of various well-known coins

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