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Ethereum has surged past the $4,800 threshold, setting the stage for a potential new all-time high. On-chain activity, market sentiment, and macroeconomic signals suggest that
may be on the cusp of a significant price move. Ether’s rally has been driven by a combination of factors, including bullish on-chain metrics, robust futures market activity, and expectations of a Fed rate cut. In the past 30 days, Ethereum network transactions have increased by 63%, while active addresses have risen 26%. These figures contrast sharply with stagnant or declining activity on competing chains like and Chain, suggesting Ethereum's growing network dominance [1].The recent surge coincided with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, where he indicated a more dovish stance on monetary policy. The CME FedWatch tool currently prices in a 45% probability of U.S. interest rates falling to 3.5% or lower by March 2026, up from 37% the previous week. Lower borrowing costs are expected to ease financial pressures on companies, reducing systemic risks and improving investor appetite for risk assets such as Ether [1]. Ether has already gained 33% in the past month, and three key technical indicators now point to continued strength [1].
Ethereum's recent price action has been supported by strong futures market dynamics. The 30-day annualized premium on ETH futures is currently at 7%, up from 4% earlier in the week, indicating increased demand for leveraged exposure. Open interest on ETH futures remains high at $69 billion, reflecting steady investor participation. Analysts note that futures buyers have not shown such aggressive behavior in over a month, according to on-chain data [1]. Meanwhile, Ether has broken out of a long-term bullish pattern, with some analysts suggesting it may reach $10,000 in the current cycle [2].
Institutional interest in Ethereum has also surged recently. Ethereum spot ETFs saw $287.61 million in net inflows on August 21, a significant reversal from
ETFs, which experienced net outflows of nearly $194 million. This trend suggests a growing preference for Ethereum among institutional investors. Moreover, on-chain data reveals a significant shift among large crypto holders. Two Bitcoin whales have sold over $523 million worth of BTC and converted it to $353.6 million in Ethereum, signaling a strategic reallocation of assets [4]. These movements reinforce the growing conviction that Ethereum is poised for a substantial price increase.While the technical and macroeconomic outlook for Ethereum is positive, some analysts caution that volatility is likely in the near term. Following Powell’s remarks, Ethereum initially surged above $4,800 but has since consolidated. Traders and analysts suggest that a pullback could occur before a breakout to new highs. However, the intent of the market is clear—Ethereum is being positioned for higher prices. With a strong institutional tailwind and favorable macroeconomic conditions, the cryptocurrency appears to be gaining momentum toward a multi-year high [2]. The next few weeks will be critical in determining whether Ethereum can maintain its upward trajectory or whether short-term volatility will disrupt its momentum.
Source:
[1] ETH data and return of investor risk appetite pave path to $5,000 Ether price (https://cointelegraph.com/news/eth-data-and-return-of-investor-risk-appetite-pave-path-to-5k-ether-price)
[2] Ethereum Breaks Above $4800 - Is It Time For New Highs? (https://www.newsbtc.com/news/ethereum-eth-breaks-above-4800-amid-market-recovery)
[3] Ethereum, Bitcoin Spike After Powell Signals Interest Rate ... (https://decrypt.co/336440/ethereum-bitcoin-jump-powell-hints-interest-rate-cut)
[4] Ethereum could rally around $20K, predicts veteran analyst (https://www.thestreet.com/crypto/markets/crypto-analysts-predict-shocking-ethereum-rally)

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