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Ethereum (ETH) appears to be consolidating above critical technical support levels, with traders and analysts closely monitoring its potential to break higher. Recent price action shows
holding above the $4,000 mark, with a significant short liquidation cluster forming between $4,300 and $4,360, creating a liquidity magnet for buyers. According to data from Kingfisher, a large pocket of short liquidations exists near $4,336, increasing the likelihood of a pullback toward this level [1]. A move into this range could result in substantial unrealized gains for long positions, particularly a $16.35 million leveraged bet placed by an Ethereum whale. This position, opened at $4,229.83, is already slightly in profit with ETH trading just above $4,240, and a 1% rise in the price of ETH would yield over $163,000 in profit [1].Technical indicators also support a bullish case for Ethereum. The price is currently above its 20-day exponential moving average (EMA), which has historically acted as a support level during the uptrend since July 2025. On the daily chart, this EMA aligns with the lower boundary of a developing falling wedge pattern, a classic setup for a bullish reversal. If the wedge pattern plays out as expected, Ethereum could target $4,750, a level approximately 13% higher than its current price [1]. On a longer timeframe, Ethereum is also staging a notable weekly retest of its former resistance level near $3,900–$4,000, which has now transformed into support. Analysts at DIY Investing have noted that if this retest holds, Ethereum could aim for an ambitious $8,000 target [1].
Despite this bullish setup, Ethereum faces liquidity risks. A 4.34% drop to around $4,046 would liquidate the whale’s leveraged position [1]. Furthermore, outflows from U.S. Ethereum ETFs reached $197 million on a single day—the second-highest withdrawal in history—raising concerns about near-term sentiment [3]. The outflows were accompanied by a surge in unstaking ETH, with $3.9 billion in withdrawals pending. Analysts have flagged $4,400 as a key support level, below which further downside could be expected [3]. While Ethereum ETFs hold 5.08% of the total ETH supply, this figure is still below the 6.38% of
held in ETFs, indicating room for further institutional adoption if inflows continue [3].On the broader market structure, Ethereum’s momentum has also gained traction in relative strength metrics. The ETH/BTC pair has registered a bullish monthly MACD crossover, a signal often associated with the start of an altseason, where altcoins outperform Bitcoin. This crossover, observed on the ETH/BTC chart, suggests a potential shift in capital from Bitcoin to Ethereum and altcoins [5]. Historical patterns show similar MACD crossovers preceding significant ETH/BTC rallies, with gains exceeding 200% in previous cycles [5]. The current ETH/BTC ratio is approaching key resistance levels, with volume surges reinforcing the validity of the bullish signal [5].
Short-term traders are also taking note of the 4-hour MACD bullish crossover above zero, which has signaled a second pump phase for Ethereum. This technical development, highlighted by on-chain analyst TATrader_Alan, suggests strengthening buyer momentum and could drive ETH toward new resistance levels [4]. With rising on-chain activity, including a 15% weekly increase in daily transactions, Ethereum’s growing adoption provides a structural foundation for further appreciation. However, traders are urged to remain cautious as external macroeconomic factors, such as interest rate decisions and geopolitical tensions, could introduce volatility.
Source:
[1] Ethereum whale opens $16.
long as ETH price eyes bounce (https://cointelegraph.com/news/ethereum-whale-opens-16-3m-long-as-eth-price-eyes-bounce)[2] Ethereum's Big Backers Unleash Billions to Push Into Wall Street (https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ethereum-big-backers-unleash-billions-130704758.html)
[3] Ethereum ETFs Lose $197 Million—Even Worse Than Bitcoin ... (https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ethereum-etfs-lose-197-million-152531921.html)
[4] Ethereum (ETH) 4-hour MACD bullish crossover above zero signals second pump phase for traders (https://blockchain.news/flashnews/ethereum-eth-4-hour-macd-bullish-crossover-above-zero-signals-second-pump-phase-for-traders)
[5] August 2025: $ETH vs $BTC Monthly MACD Bullish Crossover Signals Altseason Rotation, According to @rovercrc (https://blockchain.news/flashnews/august-2025-eth-vs-btc-monthly-macd-bullish-crossover-signals-altseason-rotation-according-to-rovercrc)

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