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Ethereum has recently triggered a classic bear trap, echoing the market setup seen in July 2024, which preceded a strong price rally. The pattern emerged as the price briefly dipped, luring in short sellers before sharply reversing upwards. This reversal has led to speculation that Ethereum may be positioning itself for another breakout, driven in part by the potential short squeeze as traders rush to cover losing positions [1].
The bear trap is characterized by a false breakdown that entices traders into bearish positions, only for the price to reverse and move in the opposite direction. In Ethereum’s case, the recent price action has mirrored this dynamic, with the reversal catching short sellers off guard and leading to a rapid upward spike [2]. Market observers have noted that this setup could serve as a catalyst for further gains, especially if the pattern unfolds similarly to the July rally.
Technical indicators and on-chain data point to a critical
in Ethereum’s price movement. A falling wedge pattern on the 1-hour chart has been broken, and key resistance levels are now in focus. The divergence in market behavior suggests an ongoing accumulation phase, potentially setting the stage for a new bullish move [3]. Additionally, the weekly RSI breakout has been cited as a signal of bullish continuation, with bulls aiming to escape the bearish structure and gain control of the market [4].While the bear trap scenario is not unique to Ethereum, similar patterns have been observed in other major cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, where the $105,000 level serves as a critical pivot point. Analysts have highlighted that this level could function as either a trap or a launchpad for further gains, depending on how volume and price action evolve [5].
Traders have also emphasized the importance of volume and structural support in determining the direction of the market. A strong price movement without a corresponding surge in volume raises concerns about a potential false breakout or a trap designed to lure in short sellers [6]. The sustainability of the current bullish momentum will depend on whether long-term investors and institutions continue to accumulate ETH without triggering a sharp reversal.
As Ethereum continues to navigate these dynamics, its ability to break out of the bear trap and maintain a bullish trend will be closely monitored. A successful breakout could indicate a broader shift in market sentiment, offering clues as to whether the crypto market is entering a new phase of accumulation or experiencing a short-term reversal [7].
Sources:
[1] https://www.bitrue.com/blog/eth-price-prediction-aug5-aug11-will-it-break-4k
[2] https://cryptoquant.com/insights/quicktake
[3] https://www.fxempire.com/forecasts/article/bitcoin-price-outlook-bulls-warned-about-real-trap-at-105000-1539227
[4] https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/ETHUSDT_63B30D.USD/ideas/page-34/?asset=base&sort=recent
[5] https://www.instagram.com/p/DNAeKQUvuei/
[6] https://www.tradingview.com/ideas/chartpattern/
[7] https://coinmarketcap.com/community/articles/68944c91a6cc7553011eb0e7/

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